Penn State @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Temple

Weather at kickoff77°F5 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Penn State

1-0 · Power #32

▲ winner

Final

Temple

1-0 · Power #104

final

Closing spread

PSU -24.5

✓ TEM W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 36 pts

Model before kickoff

PSU 38–14 TEM

✓ PSU (96%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPSU -21.5

ClosePSU -24.5

Total51.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPSU -21.5

3 → PSU

ClosePSU -24.5

3 pts toward Penn State

Total

Open51.5

▼ 2

Close49.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PSU -21.5 · closed PSU -24.5 · moved 3 toward PSUmodel PSU -23

model PSU -23

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (293 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPSU -21.5

ClosePSU -24.5

Total51.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 7 games most like PSU as a 24.5-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: PSU won 27–9; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 7 similar games. 36 points stayed under 49.5, as in 3 of 7.

Favorite won

6 of 786%

Normal range · usually 94%

Favorite covered

5 of 771%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 757%

Normal range · usually 52%

Only 7 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 28.6 against an average line of 23.6; 58 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 4 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 7 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UTAH @ WYO 2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & rest	-24.5	31–6	W	U47.5
Loose	MIA @ STAN 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & total	-24.5	45–6	W	O46.5
Loose	OU @ TLSA 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-28	66–17	W	O58.75
Loose	OSU @ MSU 2024 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & total	-23.5	38–7	W	U48.5
Loose	ALA @ VAN 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar total	-23	35–40	L	O53.5
Loose	IU @ MD 2025 · Week 10 · loose · similar total	-21	55–10	W	O50.5
Loose	USC @ PUR 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & season form	-20.5	33–17	L	U59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PSU W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
TEM W	1-0	100%	1-0	—

Venue/role: PSU away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PSU U	0-1	0%	1-0
TEM O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 53% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PSU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
TEM	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PSU 41–4 TEM (1 tied) PSU leads · 46 games since 1931 · PSU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PSU+12.7 →+15.2▲ 2.5#16

TEM−7.3 →−8.1▼ 0.8#96

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

PSU

Longer bar = better

TEM

#34

Offense

◀ PSU better

#63

#29

Defense

◀ PSU better

#65

+2.0 #23

Turnovers

Even

+2.0 #18

72 plays #48

Pace

◀ PSU faster

61 plays #99

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PSU has the ball

Advantage: PSU offense

	PSU off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	45.0 #40	14.0 #60	Even
Yards / play	6.76 #50	4.79 #69	Even
PPA / play	+0.64 #10	0.00 #69	PSU
Success rate	54% #36	36% #62	PSU

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: PSU defense

	TEM off	PSU def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #55	0.0 #7	PSU
Yards / play	6.05 #71	2.72 #12	PSU
PPA / play	+0.24 #69	−0.08 #52	Even
Success rate	49% #57	31% #43	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.