Marshall @ Penn State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Penn State

Weather at kickoff77°F6 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Marshall

0-0 · Power #114

final

Final

Penn State

0-0 · Power #32

▲ winner

Closing spread

PSU -23.5

✓ PSU W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

MRSH 16–39 PSU

✓ PSU (95%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPSU -23.5

ClosePSU -23.5

Total54.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPSU -23.5

no move

ClosePSU -23.5

No change since the open

Total

Open54.5

▼ 1

Close53.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PSU -23.5 · unchangedmodel PSU -23.5 matches the line

model PSU -23.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 22.5–24.5 since 2023: won 96%, covered 52% (80 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPSU -23.5

ClosePSU -23.5

Total54.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PSU as a 23.5-point home favorite against MRSH, the favorite won 10, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: PSU won 45–0; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 53.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 93%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 23.2 against an average line of 24.2; 59 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	IU vs ODU 2025 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & total	-23.5	27–14	L	U53.5
Very close	GT vs TEM 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & situation	-24.5	45–24	L	O52.5
Very close	LOU vs BC 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-25.5	38–24	L	O54.5
Very close	CLEM vs FAU 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & total	-25	48–14	W	O51.5
Very close	VAN vs USU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-23.5	55–35	L	O57.5
Very close	WIS vs WMU 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-24	28–14	L	U56.5
Very close	UK vs USM 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & total	-25.5	31–0	W	U50
Very close	MD vs CLT 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-24.5	38–20	L	O50
Very close	ORST vs STAN 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-21.5	62–17	W	O52.5
Very close	FSU vs VT 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & total	-24	39–17	L	O52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found