Middle Tennessee @ Marshall: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Marshall

Weather at kickoff78°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Middle Tennessee

1-0 · Power #126

final

Final

Marshall

0-1 · Power #114

▲ winner

Closing spread

MRSH -11.5

✓ MTSU W

Total

56.5

▼ Under · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

MTSU 22–33 MRSH

✓ MRSH (79%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMRSH -17.5

CloseMRSH -11.5

Total57.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MTSU W	1-0	100%	—	—
MRSH L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: MTSU away, as underdog; MRSH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MTSU U	0-1	0%	1-0
MRSH U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 50% of games with totals 52.5–60.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MTSU	3-7 30%	5-4 56%	4-5 44%
MRSH	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MTSU 5–6 MRSH MRSH leads · 11 games since 2013 · MRSH has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 20 2025	Marshall 42 @ Middle Tennessee 28	MRSH -2.5	MRSH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MTSU−15.1 →−15.6▼ 0.5#129

MRSH−5.9 →−8.9▼ 3.0#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

MTSU

Longer bar = better

MRSH

#44

Offense

◀ MTSU better

#130

#84

Defense

◀ MTSU better

#126

+1.0 #54

Turnovers

◀ MTSU better

−2.0 #127

48 plays #131

Pace

Even

54 plays #123

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MTSU has the ball

Advantage: MTSU offense

	MTSU off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #57	45.0 #125	MTSU
Yards / play	8.25 #24	6.76 #117	MTSU
PPA / play	+0.39 #40	+0.64 #135	MTSU
Success rate	50% #53	54% #128	MTSU

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: MTSU defense

	MRSH off	MTSU def	Edge
Points / game	0.0 #138	14.0 #63	MTSU
Yards / play	2.72 #135	5.92 #100	MTSU
PPA / play	−0.08 #119	+0.09 #91	MTSU
Success rate	31% #126	40% #80	MTSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.