Jacksonville State @ Ohio: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Ohio

Weather at kickoff76°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Jacksonville State

1-1 · Power #99

final

Final

Ohio

0-1 · Power #96

▲ winner

Closing spread

OHIO -1.5

✓ OHIO W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 56 pts

Model before kickoff

JXST 25–27 OHIO

✓ OHIO (57%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -2.5

CloseOHIO -1.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOHIO -2.5

1 → JXST

CloseOHIO -1.5

1 pt toward Jacksonville State

Total

Open48.5

no move

Close48.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -2.5 · closed OHIO -1.5 · moved 1 toward JXSTmodel OHIO -5.5

model OHIO -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 50%, covered 49% (206 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (341 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -2.5

CloseOHIO -1.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 1.5-point home favorite against JXST, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: OHIO won 29–27; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 56 points went over 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.1 against an average line of 2.6; 54.9 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MTSU vs JXST 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	30–45	L	O52
Close	TLSA vs TEM 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-3	48–26	W	O55
Close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	31–23	W	P54
Close	FAU vs FIU 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	38–20	W	O44.5
Close	MASS vs UNM 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	31–34	L	O48.5
Close	NU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & situation	-1	38–7	W	O40
Close	BGSU vs AKR 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar total & spread	-2.5	16–19	L	U47.5
Close	ARST vs ULM 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	28–21	W	U51.5
Close	ORST vs FRES 2025 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & rest	-1.25	27–36	L	O45
Close	BGSU vs BUFF 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	3–28	L	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST LW	1-1	50%	0-1	0-1
OHIO L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: JXST away, as underdog; OHIO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST UO	1-1	50%	1-1
OHIO O	1-0	100%	0-1

Went over in OT. Of 637 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXST	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
OHIO	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

JXST 0–1 OHIO OHIO leads · 1 game since 2023 · OHIO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 20 2024	Ohio 30 @ Jacksonville State 27	OHIO -5.5	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JXST−8.9 →−11.1▼ 2.2#114

OHIO−5.6 →−8.9▼ 3.3#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

JXST

Longer bar = better

OHIO

#79

Offense

◀ JXST better

#103

#81

Defense

◀ JXST better

#125

0.0 #64

Turnovers

◀ JXST better

−1.0 #93

58 plays #112

Pace

OHIO faster ▶

65 plays #86

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	28.0 #79	49.0 #127	JXST
Yards / play	6.05 #70	7.07 #122	JXST
PPA / play	+0.05 #95	+0.46 #127	JXST
Success rate	47% #70	51% #124	JXST

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	OHIO off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #94	20.0 #81	Even
Yards / play	4.66 #109	5.31 #86	JXST
PPA / play	+0.05 #98	+0.03 #72	JXST
Success rate	35% #112	40% #85	JXST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.