Sacramento State @ Fresno State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Fresno State

Weather at kickoff87°F12 mphgusts 26DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Sacramento State

1-1 · Power #138

final

Final

Fresno State

0-1 · Power #80

▲ winner

Closing spread

FRES -17.5

✓ FRES W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

SAC 13–29 FRES

✓ FRES (88%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenFRES -18.5

CloseFRES -17.5

Total48.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SAC LW	1-1	50%	0-1	0-1
FRES L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: SAC away, as underdog; FRES home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SAC UU	0-2	0%	1-1
FRES U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q3. Of 360 earlier overs in games with totals 39.5–47.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SAClast 6	2-4 33%	4-2 67%	2-4 33%
FRES	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SAC 0–6 FRES FRES leads · 6 games since 1972 · FRES has won the last 6 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	Sacramento State 30 @ Fresno State 46	FRES -18.5	SAC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SAC−16.9 →−14.2▲ 2.7#128

FRES−4.0 →−5.5▼ 1.5#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

SAC

Longer bar = better

FRES

#99

Offense

◀ SAC better

#137

#42

Defense

◀ SAC better

#134

−1.0 #126

Turnovers

FRES better ▶

0.0 #76

67 plays #77

Pace

◀ SAC faster

44 plays #138

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SAC has the ball

Advantage: SAC offense

	SAC off	FRES def	Edge
Points / game	34.5 #59	39.0 #131	SAC
Yards / play	5.42 #102	8.12 #135	SAC
PPA / play	0.00 #112	+0.32 #131	Even
Success rate	35% #121	62% #138	Even

When FRES has the ball

Advantage: SAC defense

	FRES off	SAC def	Edge
Points / game	0.0 #138	14.0 #46	SAC
Yards / play	2.64 #138	4.09 #34	SAC
PPA / play	−0.37 #136	−0.02 #56	SAC
Success rate	22% #137	32% #30	SAC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.