Texas Tech @ Oregon State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Oregon State

Weather at kickoff58°F7 mphWet0.8 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Texas Tech

1-0 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

Oregon State

0-1 · Power #48

final

Closing spread

TTU -25.5

✓ ORST W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

TTU 37–12 ORST

✓ TTU (97%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -27.5

CloseTTU -25.5

Total49.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTTU -27.5

2 → ORST

CloseTTU -25.5

2 pts toward Oregon State

Total

Open49.5

▲ 3

Close52.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -27.5 · closed TTU -25.5 · moved 2 toward ORSTmodel TTU -26

model TTU -26

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (228 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -27.5

CloseTTU -25.5

Total49.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 5 games most like TTU as a 25.5-point road favorite at ORST, the favorite won 4, covered 2, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: TTU won 35–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 5 similar games. 59 points went over 52.5, as in 3 of 5.

Favorite won

4 of 580%

Normal range · usually 94%

Favorite covered

2 of 540%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 5 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 16.2 against an average line of 26.1; 62.2 points a game (usually 54.7). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 5 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	MIZ @ MASS 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & situation	-27	45–3	W	U53.5
Loose	WASH @ STAN 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest	-27.5	42–33	L	O62
Loose	PSU @ UCLA 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & spread	-24.5	37–42	L	O48
Loose	OU @ BYU 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest	-24.5	31–24	L	U58.5
Loose	PSU @ NU 2023 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-27	41–13	W	O46

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TTU L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
ORST W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: TTU away, as favorite; ORST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TTU U	0-1	0%	1-0
ORST O	1-0	100%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 700 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TTU	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	3-6 33%
ORST	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TTU 1–0 ORST TTU leads · 1 game since 2023 · TTU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 13 2025	Oregon State 14 @ Texas Tech 45	TTU -23.5	TTU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TTU+19.6 →+18.0▼ 1.6#12

ORST−8.0 →−9.0▼ 1.0#104

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

TTU

Longer bar = better

ORST

#60

Offense

◀ TTU better

#94

#33

Defense

◀ TTU better

#117

0.0 #84

Turnovers

ORST better ▶

+2.0 #26

73 plays #41

Pace

Even

73 plays #42

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #71	33.0 #111	TTU
Yards / play	6.45 #61	7.40 #124	TTU
PPA / play	+0.25 #67	+0.28 #112	TTU
Success rate	53% #41	50% #122	TTU

When ORST has the ball

Advantage: TTU defense

	ORST off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #102	10.0 #45	TTU
Yards / play	5.51 #88	3.18 #23	TTU
PPA / play	+0.06 #94	−0.22 #34	TTU
Success rate	41% #92	24% #29	TTU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.