Arizona @ BYU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at BYU · Conference game

Weather at kickoff90°F5 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Arizona

1-0 · Power #31

final

Final

BYU

1-0 · Power #14

▲ winner

Closing spread

BYU -6.5

✓ BYU W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

ARIZ 22–29 BYU

✓ BYU (68%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -6.5

CloseBYU -6.5

Total51.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBYU -6.5

no move

CloseBYU -6.5

No change since the open

Total

Open51.5

▼ 2

Close49.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BYU -6.5 · unchangedmodel BYU -7.5

model BYU -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 56% (244 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -6.5

CloseBYU -6.5

Total51.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 3 games most like BYU as a 6.5-point home favorite against ARIZ, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: BYU won 28–17; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 3 similar games. 45 points stayed under 49.5, as in 1 of 3.

Favorite won

3 of 3100%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

3 of 3100%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

2 of 367%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 3 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 29 against an average line of 6.8; 52.3 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 3 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	UVA vs NCSU 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & total	-4	34–8	W	U50.5
Loose	LSU vs CLEM 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & situation	-10	51–10	W	O48.5
Loose	TULN vs USA 2023 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & situation	-6.25	37–17	W	O51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARIZ L	0-1	0%	—	—
BYU W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: ARIZ away, as underdog; BYU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARIZ U	0-1	0%	1-0
BYU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 12 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 54% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIZ	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
BYU	8-2 80%	7-2 78%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ARIZ 0–2 BYU BYU leads · 2 games since 2023 · BYU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	BYU 33 @ Arizona 27	BYU -2.5	BYU W
Oct 12 2024	Arizona 19 @ BYU 41	BYU -2.5	BYU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARIZ+8.6 →+8.9▲ 0.3#32

BYU+10.7 →+11.7▲ 1.0#26

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ARIZ

Longer bar = better

BYU

#47

Offense

BYU better ▶

#17

#23

Defense

Even

#19

−2.0 #130

Turnovers

BYU better ▶

+4.0 #4

72 plays #51

Pace

◀ ARIZ faster

68 plays #70

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARIZ has the ball

Advantage: BYU defense

	ARIZ off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #62	7.0 #33	BYU
Yards / play	7.22 #42	3.29 #24	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #75	−0.80 #1	BYU
Success rate	65% #7	17% #16	Even

When BYU has the ball

Even matchup

	BYU off	ARIZ def	Edge
Points / game	63.0 #10	7.0 #32	BYU
Yards / play	7.66 #33	3.71 #34	Even
PPA / play	+0.60 #15	−0.37 #12	Even
Success rate	64% #9	17% #15	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.