BYU @ Colorado State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Colorado State

Weather at kickoff64°F8 mphDryWeather watch ›

BYU

2-0 · Power #14

▲ winner

Final

Colorado State

2-0 · Power #110

final

Closing spread

BYU -17.5

✓ BYU W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 64 pts

Model before kickoff

BYU 35–18 CSU

✓ BYU (90%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -21

CloseBYU -17.5

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBYU -21

3.5 → CSU

CloseBYU -17.5

3.5 pts toward Colorado State

Total

Open52.5

▲ 2

Close54.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BYU -21 · closed BYU -17.5 · moved 3.5 toward CSUmodel BYU -19

model BYU -19

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 45% (42 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the underdog: that team covered 53% (69 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -21

CloseBYU -17.5

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 3 games most like BYU as a 17.5-point road favorite at CSU, the favorite won 3, covered 2, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: BYU won 41–23; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 3 similar games. 64 points went over 54.5, as in 1 of 3.

Favorite won

3 of 3100%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

2 of 367%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

1 of 333%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 3 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 26.7 against an average line of 19.8; 51.3 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 3 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	USC @ PUR 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-20.5	33–17	L	U59.5
Loose	OU @ TEM 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-23.5	42–3	W	U51
Loose	ORST @ SJSU 2023 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & total	-15.25	42–17	W	O55.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BYU WW	2-0	100%	—	2-0
CSU WW	2-0	100%	2-0	—

Venue/role: BYU away, as favorite; CSU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BYU OU	1-1	50%	2-0
CSU OO	2-0	100%	2-0

Went over in Q4. Of 672 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BYU	8-2 80%	7-2 78%	4-5 44%
CSU	3-7 30%	4-5 44%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BYU+10.7 →+12.6▲ 1.9#22

CSU−10.5 →−7.2▲ 3.3#96

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

BYU

Longer bar = better

CSU

#12

Offense

Even

#16

#22

Defense

◀ BYU better

#63

+2.5 #5

Turnovers

Even

+3.5 #2

62 plays #105

Pace

CSU faster ▶

68 plays #56

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BYU has the ball

Advantage: BYU offense

	BYU off	CSU def	Edge
Points / game	45.5 #16	18.5 #50	BYU
Yards / play	7.15 #23	6.11 #113	BYU
PPA / play	+0.52 #4	−0.08 #25	BYU
Success rate	57% #4	39% #64	BYU

When CSU has the ball

Even matchup

	CSU off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	46.5 #12	12.0 #16	Even
Yards / play	7.90 #9	4.33 #27	Even
PPA / play	+0.43 #11	−0.14 #13	Even
Success rate	50% #32	35% #32	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 121 FBS teams

BYU scoring against the CSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	10.5	17.5	28.0	10.5	7.0	17.5
CSU allowed	5.0	8.5	13.5	3.5	1.5	5.0

CSU scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CSU scored	12.0	19.0	31.0	5.0	10.5	15.5
BYU allowed	5.0	3.5	8.5	3.5	0.0	3.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.