Arizona State vs Kansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · Neutral site · Conference game

Weather at kickoff70°F11 mphgusts 23DryWeather watch ›

Arizona State

1-1 · Power #66

▲ winner

Final

Kansas

1-1 · Power #46

final

Closing spread

ASU -5.5

✓ ASU W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

ASU 29–24 KU

✓ ASU (65%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenASU -5.5

CloseASU -5.5

Total56.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenASU -5.5

no move

CloseASU -5.5

No change since the open

Total

Open56.5

▼ 6

Close50.5

Down 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ASU -5.5 · unchangedmodel ASU -4.5

model ASU -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Neutral-site favorites of 3.5–7.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 39% (77 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenASU -5.5

CloseASU -5.5

Total56.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ASU as a 5.5-point neutral-site favorite against KU, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: ASU won 24–17; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 50.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.7 against an average line of 5.9; 42.3 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TA&M vs ARK 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	21–17	L	U50.5
Close	TA&M vs ARK 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	34–22	W	O54
Loose	SJSU vs CCU 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar total & spread	-7.5	14–24	L	U48.5
Loose	USF vs ODU 2025 · Postseason · loose · similar season form	-4	10–24	L	U52.5
Loose	GT vs VAN 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar spread	-3	27–35	L	O49
Loose	MIZ vs UVA 2025 · Postseason · loose · similar season form	-4	7–13	L	U43.5
Loose	TOL vs M-OH 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest & spread	-7	14–23	L	U43.5
Loose	LOU vs IU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest	-10	21–14	L	U50.5
Loose	UCLA vs BOIS 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar team ratings	-6.5	35–22	W	O45.25
Loose	BYU vs GT 2025 · Postseason · loose · similar spread & season form	-3.5	25–21	W	U55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
ASU WL	1-1	50%	—	1-0
KU WL	1-1	50%	—	0-1

Venue/role: ASU neutral, as favorite; KU neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU OO	2-0	100%	1-1
KU UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 53% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
KU	3-7 30%	3-6-1 33%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ASU 2–0 KU ASU leads · 2 games since 2024 · ASU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 5 2024	Kansas 31 @ Arizona State 35	ASU -2.5	ASU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ASU+6.4 →+8.4▲ 2.0#35

KU+3.1 →+4.6▲ 1.5#47

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ASU

Longer bar = better

#34

Offense

◀ ASU better

#73

#55

Defense

Even

#55

−2.0 #133

Turnovers

KU better ▶

−1.0 #114

67 plays #64

Pace

KU faster ▶

72 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ASU has the ball

Even matchup

	ASU off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	45.0 #28	22.0 #76	ASU
Yards / play	7.84 #15	4.96 #63	ASU
PPA / play	+0.20 #60	+0.03 #63	Even
Success rate	50% #34	30% #16	Even

When KU has the ball

Even matchup

	KU off	ASU def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #49	27.5 #103	KU
Yards / play	6.06 #70	4.06 #27	ASU
PPA / play	+0.13 #78	−0.06 #41	ASU
Success rate	41% #93	36% #47	ASU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 19 FBS teams

ASU scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ASU scored	17.5	12.0	29.5	15.5	0.0	15.5
KU allowed	0.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	8.0	15.0

KU scoring against the ASU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	3.0	19.0	22.0	7.0	7.0	14.0
ASU allowed	7.0	5.0	12.0	3.5	12.0	15.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.