Arizona State @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Texas A&M

Weather at kickoff88°F11 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Arizona State

1-0 · Power #66

final

Final

Texas A&M

1-0 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

TA&M -15.5

✓ TA&M W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 68 pts

Model before kickoff

ASU 17–33 TA&M

✓ TA&M (87%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTA&M -14.5

CloseTA&M -15.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTA&M -14.5

1 → TA&M

CloseTA&M -15.5

1 pt toward Texas A&M

Total

Open51.5

no move

Close51.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TA&M -14.5 · closed TA&M -15.5 · moved 1 toward TA&Mmodel TA&M -18.5

model TA&M -18.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 14.5–16.5 since 2023: won 88%, covered 47% (119 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (291 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTA&M -14.5

CloseTA&M -15.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like TA&M as a 15.5-point home favorite against ASU, the favorite won 1, covered 0, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: TA&M won 48–20; the favorite covered, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 68 points went over 51.5, as in 0 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 87%

Favorite covered

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 6 against an average line of 14.5; 48 points a game (usually 52.5). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	MIZ vs BC 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-14.5	27–21	L	U52

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ASU W	1-0	100%	—	—
TA&M W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: ASU away, as underdog; TA&M home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU O	1-0	100%	1-0
TA&M U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 717 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
TA&M	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ASU+6.4 →+8.3▲ 1.9#35

TA&M+19.7 →+21.6▲ 1.9#8

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ASU

Longer bar = better

TA&M

Offense

◀ ASU better

#48

#36

Defense

TA&M better ▶

−1.0 #99

Turnovers

TA&M better ▶

+1.0 #51

71 plays #54

Pace

TA&M faster ▶

85 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ASU has the ball

Even matchup

	ASU off	TA&M def	Edge
Points / game	70.0 #5	0.0 #6	Even
Yards / play	9.59 #4	1.68 #2	Even
PPA / play	+0.88 #2	−0.59 #4	Even
Success rate	71% #3	16% #13	Even

When TA&M has the ball

Even matchup

	TA&M off	ASU def	Edge
Points / game	50.0 #30	7.0 #28	Even
Yards / play	5.94 #73	3.84 #41	ASU
PPA / play	+0.30 #57	−0.21 #35	ASU
Success rate	55% #33	30% #40	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.