Oregon @ Oklahoma State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 1:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Oklahoma State

Weather at kickoff89°F9 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Oregon

1-0 · Power #9

final

Final

Oklahoma State

0-1 · Power #44

▲ winner

Closing spread

ORE -24.5

✓ OKST W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 70 pts

Model before kickoff

ORE 38–12 OKST

✗ ORE (97%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORE -20.5

CloseORE -24.5

Total60.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenORE -20.5

4 → ORE

CloseORE -24.5

4 pts toward Oregon

Total

Open60.5

▼ 5

Close55.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ORE -20.5 · closed ORE -24.5 · moved 4 toward OREmodel ORE -30.5

model ORE -30.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (185 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORE -20.5

CloseORE -24.5

Total60.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like ORE as a 24.5-point road favorite at OKST, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: OKST won 39–31 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 70 points went over 55.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 94%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 52%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 55 against an average line of 24; 55 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	SMU @ TEM 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar spread & rest	-24	55–0	W	O53

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORE L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
OKST L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: ORE away, as favorite; OKST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORE O	1-0	100%	1-0
OKST U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 597 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORE	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
OKST	0-10 0%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ORE 2–1 OKST ORE leads · 3 games since 2008 · OKST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 6 2025	Oklahoma State 3 @ Oregon 69	ORE -28.5	ORE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ORE+25.4 →+22.6▼ 2.8#6

OKST−8.9 →−8.5▲ 0.4#99

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ORE

Longer bar = better

OKST

#62

Offense

◀ ORE better

#121

#74

Defense

◀ ORE better

#102

−1.0 #107

Turnovers

◀ ORE better

−3.0 #136

63 plays #95

Pace

OKST faster ▶

86 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORE has the ball

Advantage: ORE offense

	ORE off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #67	24.0 #98	ORE
Yards / play	7.89 #30	6.33 #109	ORE
PPA / play	+0.17 #76	+0.18 #108	ORE
Success rate	45% #74	41% #91	Even

When OKST has the ball

Advantage: ORE defense

	OKST off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #126	27.0 #103	ORE
Yards / play	4.28 #120	4.22 #51	ORE
PPA / play	−0.20 #130	+0.05 #80	ORE
Success rate	36% #109	36% #61	ORE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.