Washington State @ Kansas State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Kansas State

Weather at kickoff75°F11 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Washington State

0-1 · Power #100

final

Final

Kansas State

1-0 · Power #41

▲ winner

Closing spread

KSU -17.5

✓ KSU W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

WSU 15–32 KSU

✓ KSU (89%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenKSU -16.5

CloseKSU -17.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKSU -16.5

1 → KSU

CloseKSU -17.5

1 pt toward Kansas State

Total

Open51.5

▼ 3

Close48.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KSU -16.5 · closed KSU -17.5 · moved 1 toward KSUmodel KSU -14

model KSU -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 50% (132 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (291 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenKSU -16.5

CloseKSU -17.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like KSU as a 17.5-point home favorite against WSU, the favorite won 2, covered 2, and 2 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: KSU won 34–7; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 2 similar games. 41 points stayed under 48.5, as in 0 of 2.

Favorite won

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 36.5 against an average line of 19; 67.5 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	PITT vs M-OH 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & spread	-16.5	59–14	W	O47.5
Loose	PITT vs CMU 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-21.5	45–17	W	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0
KSU W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: WSU away, as underdog; KSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU U	0-1	0%	0-1
KSU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 53% of games with totals 44.5–52.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	5-5 50%	9-1 90%	1-9 10%
KSU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

WSU 0–1 KSU KSU leads · 1 game since 2026 · KSU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU+0.5 →−0.9▼ 1.4#71

KSU+6.3 →+8.6▲ 2.3#34

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

WSU

Longer bar = better

KSU

#124

Offense

KSU better ▶

#24

#98

Defense

KSU better ▶

#16

−3.0 #135

Turnovers

KSU better ▶

0.0 #79

56 plays #117

Pace

KSU faster ▶

71 plays #56

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: KSU defense

	WSU off	KSU def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #125	3.0 #15	KSU
Yards / play	4.32 #119	2.10 #6	KSU
PPA / play	−0.17 #128	−0.33 #17	KSU
Success rate	32% #124	23% #24	KSU

When KSU has the ball

Advantage: KSU offense

	KSU off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	71.0 #4	24.0 #97	KSU
Yards / play	7.87 #31	6.28 #107	KSU
PPA / play	+0.40 #38	+0.05 #76	KSU
Success rate	58% #24	47% #113	KSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.