UAB @ Louisiana: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Louisiana

Weather at kickoff88°F3 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

UAB

1-1 · Power #107

final

Final

Louisiana

1-1 · Power #81

▲ winner

Closing spread

UL -7

Push

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 35 pts

Model before kickoff

UAB 25–33 UL

✓ UL (69%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUL -10

CloseUL -7

Total59.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUL -10

3 → UAB

CloseUL -7

3 pts toward UAB

Total

Open59.5

▼ 4

Close55.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UL -10 · closed UL -7 · moved 3 toward UABmodel UL -7.5

model UL -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 70%, covered 55% (206 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (238 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUL -10

CloseUL -7

Total59.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UL as a 7-point home favorite against UAB, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: UL won 21–14; the favorite pushed, as in 0 of the 10 similar games. 35 points stayed under 55.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 69%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.2 against an average line of 6.6; 65.8 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 7 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNLV vs CSU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	25–23	L	U60
Very close	CONN vs FIU 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-7	51–10	W	O52
Very close	KENN vs MOST 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	41–34	W	O54.5
Close	TROY vs UL 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & season form	-7	35–23	W	O47.5
Close	TXST vs TROY 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	41–48	L	O53.5
Close	USA vs TROY 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar total & team ratings	-10	25–9	W	U53
Close	UL vs TROY 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	51–30	W	O51.5
Close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total	-4.5	24–27	L	U59
Close	CCU vs ODU 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-4	45–37	W	O51.5
Close	CSU vs USU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & rest	-5.5	42–37	L	O57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB WL	1-1	50%	1-0	1-0
UL WW	2-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: UAB away, as underdog; UL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB OU	1-1	50%	1-1
UL UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 50% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UAB	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%
UL	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UAB 4–5 UL UL leads · 9 games since 1995 · UL has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 16 2023	Louisiana 41 @ UAB 21	UAB -2	UL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UAB−11.8 →−12.0▼ 0.2#117

UL−10.9 →−7.3▲ 3.6#99

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

UAB

Longer bar = better

#87

Offense

UL better ▶

#60

#104

Defense

Even

#100

−1.0 #120

Turnovers

UL better ▶

+1.0 #33

74 plays #18

Pace

◀ UAB faster

61 plays #111

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Even matchup

	UAB off	UL def	Edge
Points / game	24.5 #103	28.0 #106	Even
Yards / play	5.40 #104	5.25 #75	UL
PPA / play	+0.11 #91	+0.12 #94	Even
Success rate	46% #50	47% #123	UAB

When UL has the ball

Advantage: UL offense

	UL off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #60	31.0 #115	UL
Yards / play	6.88 #32	5.56 #95	UL
PPA / play	+0.22 #58	+0.08 #77	Even
Success rate	43% #89	50% #130	UL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 114 FBS teams

UAB scoring against the UL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	1.5	10.0	11.5	3.0	10.0	13.0
UL allowed	3.5	10.5	14.0	3.5	10.5	14.0

UL scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UL scored	5.0	14.0	19.0	7.0	8.0	15.0
UAB allowed	10.5	8.5	19.0	5.0	7.0	12.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.