UL Monroe @ UAB: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at UAB

Weather at kickoff89°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

UL Monroe

0-1 · Power #137

final

Final

UAB

0-1 · Power #107

▲ winner

Closing spread

UAB -9.5

✓ ULM W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

ULM 23–33 UAB

✓ UAB (77%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUAB -7.5

CloseUAB -9.5

Total54.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUAB -7.5

2 → UAB

CloseUAB -9.5

2 pts toward UAB

Total

Open54.5

▼ 1

Close53.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UAB -7.5 · closed UAB -9.5 · moved 2 toward UABmodel UAB -14

model UAB -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 78%, covered 47% (156 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (296 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUAB -7.5

CloseUAB -9.5

Total54.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like UAB as a 9.5-point home favorite against ULM, the favorite won 2, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: UAB won 26–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 1 of the 2 similar games. 46 points stayed under 53.5, as in 2 of 2.

Favorite won

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 73%

Favorite covered

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

0 of 20%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 8 against an average line of 9.8; 42 points a game (usually 53). When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	EMU vs SAC 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & total	-9.5	28–17	W	U52.5
Loose	LT vs FIU 2023 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & spread	-10	22–17	L	U58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ULM L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1
UAB W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: ULM away, as underdog; UAB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ULM O	1-0	100%	0-1
UAB O	1-0	100%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 51% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ULM	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
UAB	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ULM 1–0 UAB ULM leads · 1 game since 2023 · ULM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	UAB 6 @ UL Monroe 32	UAB -10.5	ULM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ULM−17.2 →−20.9▼ 3.7#137

UAB−11.8 →−10.9▲ 0.9#112

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ULM

Longer bar = better

UAB

#126

Offense

UAB better ▶

#90

#137

Defense

Even

#127

0.0 #80

Turnovers

◀ ULM better

−1.0 #98

68 plays #69

Pace

UAB faster ▶

79 plays #18

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ULM has the ball

Even matchup

	ULM off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #120	42.0 #121	Even
Yards / play	4.09 #123	7.72 #125	Even
PPA / play	−0.28 #131	+0.46 #128	Even
Success rate	24% #131	57% #133	Even

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: UAB offense

	UAB off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #91	62.0 #137	UAB
Yards / play	5.23 #97	9.65 #138	UAB
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	+0.65 #136	UAB
Success rate	41% #88	60% #135	UAB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.