Sacramento State @ Eastern Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Aug 29, 2026, 6:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Eastern Michigan · Conference game

Weather at kickoff77°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Sacramento State

0-0 · Power #138

final

Final

Eastern Michigan

0-0 · Power #128

▲ winner

Closing spread

EMU -9.5

✓ EMU W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

SAC 24–34 EMU

✓ EMU (75%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenEMU -8.5

CloseEMU -9.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenEMU -8.5

1 → EMU

CloseEMU -9.5

1 pt toward Eastern Michigan

Total

Open52.5

no move

Close52.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened EMU -8.5 · closed EMU -9.5 · moved 1 toward EMUmodel EMU -9.5 matches the line

model EMU -9.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 77%, covered 45% (150 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (277 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenEMU -8.5

CloseEMU -9.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like EMU as a 9.5-point home favorite against SAC, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: EMU won 28–17; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 52.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 73%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.6 against an average line of 8.7; 50.4 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WKU vs FIU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10	6–25	L	U55.5
Very close	LT vs FIU 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-10	22–17	L	U58.5
Very close	TEM vs AKR 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar total & spread	-9.75	24–21	L	U55
Very close	ECU vs TEM 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8.5	56–34	W	O48.5
Very close	CMU vs EMU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	26–23	L	O47.5
Very close	JXST vs LT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-9	56–17	W	O54.5
Very close	FIU vs MTSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & total	-9.5	35–24	W	O51
Very close	USA vs ARST 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8.5	14–15	L	U57.5
Very close	NMSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation	-6.5	34–17	W	O49.5
Very close	LIB vs MOST 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & spread	-7.5	17–21	L	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found