Jacksonville State @ North Dakota State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Aug 29, 2026, 5:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at North Dakota State

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Jacksonville State

0-0 · Power #99

final

Final

North Dakota State

0-0 · Power #74

▲ winner

Closing spread

NDSU -6.5

✓ NDSU W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

JXST 26–31 NDSU

✓ NDSU (64%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNDSU -10

CloseNDSU -6.5

Total48.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNDSU -10

3.5 → JXST

CloseNDSU -6.5

3.5 pts toward Jacksonville State

Total

Open48.5

▼ 2

Close46.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NDSU -10 · closed NDSU -6.5 · moved 3.5 toward JXSTmodel JXST -0.5

model JXST -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 56% (239 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 56% (100 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNDSU -10

CloseNDSU -6.5

Total48.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NDSU as a 6.5-point home favorite against JXST, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: NDSU won 33–7; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 46.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.4 against an average line of 4.6; 42.2 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HAW vs SHSU 2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar total & situation	-7.25	37–20	W	O48
Close	AFA vs SJSU 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar total	-3	7–17	L	U44.5
Close	BUFF vs TROY 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings	-5.5	17–21	L	U43.5
Close	BUFF vs BGSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings	-3	14–24	L	U44.5
Close	FAU vs ECU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & total	-7.5	7–22	L	U44.75
Close	RICE vs ECU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & team ratings	-3.5	24–17	W	U47
Close	CONN vs FAU 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar total & team ratings	-1	48–14	W	O45.5
Close	RICE vs CLT 2024 · Week 5 · close	-4	20–21	L	U48
Close	BUFF vs MASS 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation	-3.5	34–3	W	U45.5
Close	OHIO vs BGSU 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & total	-7.5	35–20	W	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found