Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Colorado State
Closing spread
CSU -2.5
✓ CSU W
Total
45.5
▲ Over · 48 pts
Model before kickoff
WYO 20–23 CSU
✓ CSU (58%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCSU -4
CloseCSU -2.5
Total47.5 → 45.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -4
1.5 → WYO
CloseCSU -2.5
1.5 pts toward Wyoming
Total
Open47.5
▼ 2
Close45.5
Down 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -4 · closed CSU -2.5 · moved 1.5 toward WYOmodel CSU -3.5
model CSU -3.5
Opened 47.5 · closed 45.5 · moved 2 downmodel 42.5
model 42.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 52% (324 games)ⓘ
Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 48% (123 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCSU -4
CloseCSU -2.5
Total47.5 → 45.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
CSU as a 2.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.
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This game: CSU won 35–13; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 48 points went over 45.5, as in 4 of 10.
Favorite won
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 56%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.1 against an average line of 2.4; 45.1 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2024 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & spread |
-1 | 48–14 | W | O45.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar team ratings & spread |
-3 | 14–24 | L | U44.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total |
-3.5 | 24–17 | W | U47 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & team ratings |
-1.5 | 27–24 | W | O47.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & total |
-1.5 | 7–24 | L | U42.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation |
-1.25 | 27–36 | L | O45 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total |
-3.5 | 22–19 | L | U46.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread |
-4 | 27–13 | W | U42.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings |
-2.5 | 26–17 | W | O40.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & team ratings |
-2.5 | 19–22 | L | U44.5 |
CONN
FAU
BUFF
BGSU
RICE
ECU
SDSU
HAW
ARMY
ORST
FRES
NMSU
SHSU
M-OH
WMU
NEV
AFAHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Wyoming ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Under trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Market moved toward Wyoming
1.5 pts (CSU -4 → CSU -2.5), through the key number 3. · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved down 2
47.5 → 45.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Wyoming have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 468 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–49.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
 WYO | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| CSU | 1-9 10% | 3-6 33% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
WYO 2–1 CSU
WYO leads · 3 games since 2023 · WYO has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 2025 | Colorado State 0 @ Wyoming 28 | WYO -5.5 | WYO W |
| Nov 15 2024 | Wyoming 10 @ Colorado State 24 | CSU -7.5 | CSU W |
| Nov 3 2023 | Colorado State 15 @ Wyoming 24 | WYO -6 | WYO W |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
CSU +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
92° · 12 mph
gusts 13 mph · wind lowers scoring
Rest
WYO1st game
CSU1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
Wyomingvs UNCO →Colorado Statevs SUU →
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TXST @ 
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