Oregon State @ Houston: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Houston

Weather at kickoff86°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Oregon State

0-0 · Power #48

final

Final

Houston

0-0 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

HOU -21

✓ ORST W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 53 pts

Model before kickoff

ORST 16–36 HOU

✓ HOU (92%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -18.5

CloseHOU -21

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenHOU -18.5

2.5 → HOU

CloseHOU -21

2.5 pts toward Houston

Total

Open50.5

no move

Close50.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened HOU -18.5 · closed HOU -21 · moved 2.5 toward HOUmodel HOU -16.5

model HOU -16.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 20–22 since 2023: won 90%, covered 47% (77 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (267 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -18.5

CloseHOU -21

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HOU as a 21-point home favorite against ORST, the favorite won 10, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: HOU won 33–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 53 points went over 50.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.3 against an average line of 20.9; 44.9 points a game (usually 53.6). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WASH vs CSU 2025 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & total	-22.5	38–21	L	O52
Very close	MSU vs WMU 2025 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-21.5	23–6	L	U50
Very close	JMU vs ODU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & total	-19.5	30–27	L	O48
Very close	UCF vs JXST 2025 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & total	-20.5	17–10	L	U52.5
Very close	CIN vs BGSU 2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-22	34–20	L	O46.5
Very close	FRES vs NMSU 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & total	-20	48–0	W	U48.5
Very close	MIZ vs MTSU 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-21	23–19	L	U47.5
Very close	MSST vs NIU 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & total	-24	38–10	W	U48.5
Very close	SMU vs STAN 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-19.5	34–10	W	U55.5
Very close	CAL vs SDSU 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-18.5	31–10	W	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found