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NCAAF · 2026

NCAAF Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
51 finalFavorites 28-21 ATS7 upsetsO/U 26-25Model Favorite 44-7Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5151 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS28-2157% covered
Upsets7outright
Over / Under26-2551% over
Model Favorite44-786% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up15 all 15 final
Over7 47%Under8 53%
Moved down25 all 25 final
Over13 52%Under12 48%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
21–18–254%
178–153–654%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
10–1343%
111–93–354%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–357%
61–49–155%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
0–10%
18–1358%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
3–175%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Aug 29

8
Final · Neutral
North Carolina
0-0 · #47
15
TCU
0-0 · #36
10
Spread
TCU -7.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▼ Under 25
Projected
21–29
✗ TCU lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TCU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San José State
0-0 · #111
26
USC
0-0 · #18
42
Spread
USC -37.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲4
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
12–49
✓ USC won
Trend: USC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: SJSU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
0-0 · #61
8
Virginia
0-0 · #49
34
Spread
UVA -4
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 42
Projected
25–29
✓ UVA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UVA by 0 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville State
0-0 · #99
7
North Dakota State
0-0 · #74
33
Spread
NDSU -6.5
✓ NDSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
26–31
✓ NDSU won
Trend: JXST ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: JXST by 7 ✗ Model: Over 11 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Sacramento State
0-0 · #138
17
Eastern Michigan
0-0 · #128
28
Spread
EMU -9.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
24–34
✓ EMU won
Model: SAC by 0 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
0-0 · #118
27
Stanford
0-0 · #97
37
Spread
STAN -4.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✓ STAN won
Trend: STAN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: STAN by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
0-0 · #119
17
Florida State
0-0 · #40
34
Spread
FSU -30.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
11–42
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗ Model: FSU by 6 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Memphis
0-0 · #62
27
UNLV
0-0 · #84
21
Spread
UNLV -4.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼5
▼ Under 48
Projected
28–32
✗ UNLV lost
Trend: UNLV ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MEM by 2 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Sep 3

4
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
0-0 · #123
37
Rutgers
0-0 · #77
21
Spread
RUTG -29.5
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
15–45
✗ RUTG lost
Model: RUTG by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Akron
0-0 · #133
16
Wake Forest
0-0 · #20
38
Spread
WAKE -27.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
10–37
✓ WAKE won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Colorado
0-0 · #63
14
Georgia Tech
0-0 · #68
13
Spread
GT -6.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▼ Under 27
Projected
24–32
✗ GT lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: GT by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UAB
0-0 · #107
23
Illinois
0-0 · #53
42
Spread
ILL -25.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
16–41
✓ ILL won
Trend: UAB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UAB by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 4

5
Final · Non-conf
San José State
0-1 · #111
27
Eastern Michigan
1-0 · #128
21
Spread
EMU -1.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 48
Projected
29–31
✗ EMU lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✓ Model: EMU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
0-0 · #136
0
Oklahoma
0-0 · #23
51
Spread
OU -40.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
1–41
✓ OU won
Model: UTEP by 3 ✗ Model: Under 10 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
0-0 · #75
20
Michigan State
0-0 · #69
30
Spread
MSU -10
Push
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
21–29
✓ MSU won
Model: TOL by 7.5 Model: Over 1.5 ✓
Final · Conf
Miami
0-0 · #3
45
Stanford
1-0 · #97
6
Spread
MIA -24.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▲ Over 51 · Q3
Projected
35–11
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: STAN by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Fresno State
0-0 · #80
0
USC
1-0 · #18
39
Spread
USC -21.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
14–37
✓ USC won
Trend: FRES ATS ✗ Model: USC by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Sep 5

30
Final · Non-conf
North Texas
0-0 · #54
16
Indiana
0-0 · #7
52
Spread
IU -39.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲2
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
14–50
✓ IU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: UNT by 15.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
0-0 · #92
10
Alabama
0-0 · #5
48
Spread
ALA -28.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
12–40
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ECU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
0-0 · #48
20
Houston
0-0 · #21
33
Spread
HOU -21
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
16–36
✓ HOU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: ORST by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
0-0 · #116
24
West Virginia
0-0 · #73
31
Spread
WVU -21
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼4
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
17–37
✓ WVU won
Trend: WVU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
0-0 · #96
21
Nebraska
0-0 · #13
49
Spread
NEB -23.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
15–37
✓ NEB won
Model: OHIO by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Liberty
0-0 · #67
13
James Madison
0-0 · #51
20
Spread
JMU -6
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
22–30
✓ JMU won
Model: JMU by 13 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
0-0 · #132
3
Ohio State
0-0 · #2
56
Spread
OSU -50.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
0–48
✓ OSU won
Model: OSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 10.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
0-0 · #106
14
Pittsburgh
0-0 · #39
59
Spread
PITT -16.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼3
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
17–33
✓ PITT won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
0-0 · #131
0
South Carolina
0-0 · #28
57
Spread
SC -35.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
8–43
✓ SC won
Trend: SC ATS ✓ Model: KENT by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
0-0 · #37
27
Oregon
0-0 · #9
34
Spread
ORE -24.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
14–39
✓ ORE won
Model: ORE by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Texas State
0-0 · #58
7
Texas
0-0 · #8
59
Spread
TEX -29.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
15–44
✓ TEX won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: TXST by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
0-0 · #114
0
Penn State
0-0 · #32
45
Spread
PSU -23.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 45
Projected
16–39
✓ PSU won
Model: MRSH by 0 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
Baylor
0-0 · #38
16
Auburn
0-0 · #25
17
Spread
AUB -6.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
25–31
✓ AUB won
Model: AUB by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Boston College
0-0 · #79
15
Cincinnati
0-0 · #64
34
Spread
CIN -7
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 49
Projected
25–32
✓ CIN won
Trend: BC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
0-0 · #86
3
Duke
0-0 · #43
17
Spread
DUKE -9.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▼ Under 20
Projected
25–33
✓ DUKE won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TULN by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Oklahoma State
0-0 · #44
10
Tulsa
0-0 · #87
24
Spread
OKST -13.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
30–20
✗ OKST lost
Trend: OKST ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TLSA by 14.5 ✓ Model: Under 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Northern Illinois
0-0 · #134
0
Iowa
0-0 · #27
40
Spread
IOWA -31.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
5–36
✓ IOWA won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
0-0 · #122
13
Colorado State
0-0 · #110
35
Spread
CSU -2.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
20–23
✓ CSU won
Trend: WYO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Missouri State
0-0 · #130
0
Texas A&M
0-0 · #24
50
Spread
TA&M -38.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▼ Under 50
Projected
8–46
✓ TA&M won
Model: MOST by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
0-0 · #103
24
Memphis
1-0 · #62
42
Spread
MEM -10.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
21–33
✓ MEM won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
0-0 · #105
9
South Florida
0-0 · #76
19
Spread
USF -14.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 28
Projected
21–37
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✗ Model: USF by 8 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-0 · #124
21
Troy
0-0 · #98
24
Spread
TROY -15.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
17–33
✓ TROY won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: TROY by 0 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
0-0 · #88
12
Michigan
0-0 · #34
13
Spread
MICH -27.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▼ Under 25
Projected
10–37
✓ MICH won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: WMU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
0-0 · #137
13
Mississippi State
0-0 · #29
62
Spread
MSST -28.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
13–41
✓ MSST won
Model: ULM by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
0-0 · #102
21
Florida
0-0 · #17
66
Spread
FLA -26.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲3
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
15–41
✓ FLA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: FAU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Clemson
0-0 · #52
10
LSU
0-0 · #6
51
Spread
LSU -10
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
18–28
✓ LSU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CLEM by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
0-1 · #84
21
Hawai'i
0-1 · #118
6
Spread
UNLV -2.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 27
Projected
30–27
✓ UNLV won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNLV by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
0-0 · #120
7
New Mexico
0-0 · #56
38
Spread
UNM -11.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▼ Under 45
Projected
18–30
✓ UNM won
Trend: UNM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNM by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UCLA
0-0 · #16
45
California
0-0 · #85
24
Spread
UCLA -2.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
27–25
✓ UCLA won
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓ Model: CAL by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Western Kentucky
0-0 · #115
14
Nevada
0-0 · #109
49
Spread
WKU -1.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
24–22
✗ WKU lost
Trend: NEV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NEV by 1 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 6

3
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
0-0 · #100
10
Washington
0-0 · #42
24
Spread
WASH -23.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
13–35
✓ WASH won
Trend: WASH ATS ✗ Model: WSU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Wisconsin
0-0 · #33
13
Notre Dame
0-0 · #1
41
Spread
ND -21
✓ ND W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
12–34
✓ ND won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ND by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Neutral
Louisville
0-0 · #22
38
Ole Miss
0-0 · #12
41
Spread
MISS -6.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
24–32
✓ MISS won
Model: MISS by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 7

1
Final · Conf
SMU
0-0 · #35
27
Florida State
1-0 · #40
24
Spread
SMU -3
Push
Total
52.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
29–27
✓ SMU won
Model: FSU by 8 Model: Over 4 ✗
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total