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NCAAF · 2026

NCAAF Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
58 finalFavorites 33-24 ATS10 upsetsO/U 28-30Model Favorite 48-10Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5858 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS33-2458% covered
Upsets10outright
Over / Under28-3048% over
Model Favorite48-1083% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up24 all 24 final
Over14 58%Under10 42%
Moved down27 all 27 final
Over11 41%Under16 59%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
26–23–153%
178–153–654%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
19–1359%
111–93–354%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
7–654%
61–49–155%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
2–167%
18–1358%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
3–175%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 24

1
Final · Non-conf
Liberty
2-1 · #67
34
Coastal Carolina
1-2 · #116
17
Spread
LIB -2.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
27–24
✓ LIB won
Trend: LIB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LIB by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Friday, Sep 25

4
Final · Conf
Army
1-1 · #78
21
Temple
1-2 · #104
17
Spread
ARMY -4
Push
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–22
✓ ARMY won
Model: TEM by 3.5 Model: Under 0.5 ✓
Final · Conf
Navy
1-1 · #89
20
UAB
1-2 · #107
24
Spread
NAVY -6.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
29–23
✗ NAVY lost
Trend: UAB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UAB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northwestern
2-0 · #30
23
Indiana
3-0 · #7
29
Spread
IU -20.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
14–36
✓ IU won
Trend: NU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: IU by 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Clemson
2-1 · #52
24
California
2-1 · #85
10
Spread
CLEM -2.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲5
▼ Under 34
Projected
27–24
✓ CLEM won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: CAL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Sep 26

53
Final · Conf
Texas
3-0 · #8
20
Tennessee
3-0 · #11
17
Spread
TEX -5.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
31–26
✓ TEX won
Trend: TENN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TENN by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Illinois
2-1 · #53
19
Ohio State
2-1 · #2
42
Spread
OSU -25.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
14–40
✓ OSU won
Trend: ILL ATS ✓ Model: ILL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
1-2 · #124
14
Texas Tech
3-0 · #15
49
Spread
TTU -34.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
8–43
✓ TTU won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✗ Model: SHSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
2-1 · #20
30
Louisville
2-1 · #22
27
Spread
LOU -11.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▼ Under 57
Projected
23–35
✗ LOU lost
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓ Model: LOU by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Colorado
2-1 · #63
13
Baylor
2-1 · #38
23
Spread
BAY -8.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
22–31
✓ BAY won
Model: BAY by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
3-0 · #45
21
Boston College
2-1 · #79
14
Spread
VT -14.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼9
▼ Under 35
Projected
31–17
✓ VT won
Trend: VT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San Diego State
1-2 · #108
16
Toledo
2-1 · #75
41
Spread
TOL -2.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: TOL by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Colorado State
2-1 · #110
45
UTSA
2-1 · #71
59
Spread
UTSA -14.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 104 · Q3
Projected
22–36
✓ UTSA won
Trend: UTSA ATS ✗ Model: CSU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
1-2 · #84
38
Akron
1-2 · #133
10
Spread
UNLV -13.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲3
▼ Under 48
Projected
31–18
✓ UNLV won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: AKR by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Ball State
1-2 · #132
13
Kent State
1-2 · #131
26
Spread
KENT -2.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
27–29
✓ KENT won
Trend: BALL ATS ✗ Model: BALL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
South Alabama
2-1 · #101
21
Kentucky
2-1 · #26
45
Spread
UK -20.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
16–37
✓ UK won
Model: UK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UCLA
3-0 · #16
54
Maryland
2-1 · #72
3
Spread
UCLA -2.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲4
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
28–26
✓ UCLA won
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: MD by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
3-0 · #1
49
Purdue
1-2 · #59
10
Spread
ND -27.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
44–16
✓ ND won
Model: ND by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Northern Illinois
0-3 · #134
14
Georgia State
2-1 · #91
35
Spread
GAST -8.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▼ Under 49
Projected
22–32
✓ GAST won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: GAST by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
1-2 · #118
10
Wyoming
1-2 · #122
27
Spread
HAW -2.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–21
✗ HAW lost
Trend: WYO ATS ✓ Model: WYO by 7 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
2-1 · #23
13
Georgia
3-0 · #4
41
Spread
UGA -11.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼9
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
16–28
✓ UGA won
Trend: UGA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UGA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
3-0 · #12
28
Florida
3-0 · #17
52
Spread
FLA -4
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 80 · Q4
Projected
30–33
✓ FLA won
Trend: FLA ATS ✓ Model: MISS by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
3-0 · #10
31
Iowa State
2-1 · #50
17
Spread
UTAH -7.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
28–20
✓ UTAH won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTAH by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa
3-0 · #27
20
Michigan
3-0 · #34
19
Spread
MICH -4.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
39.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
19–23
✗ MICH lost
Model: IOWA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
TCU
2-1 · #36
13
UCF
2-1 · #55
21
Spread
TCU -3.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 34
Projected
25–22
✗ TCU lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UCF by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
2-1 · #37
32
Western Michigan
2-1 · #88
7
Spread
BOIS -8.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▼ Under 39
Projected
28–20
✓ BOIS won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: WMU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UConn
2-1 · #93
21
Miami (OH)
1-2 · #106
24
Spread
M-OH -2.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
27–29
✓ M-OH won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: CONN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
2-1 · #56
42
New Mexico State
1-2 · #119
18
Spread
UNM -11.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
30–18
✓ UNM won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNM by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Houston
2-1 · #21
42
Georgia Southern
1-2 · #82
28
Spread
HOU -17.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
36–19
✓ HOU won
Trend: GASO ATS ✓ Model: GASO by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
3-0 · #60
15
Auburn
2-1 · #25
21
Spread
AUB -10
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲4
▼ Under 36
Projected
23–32
✓ AUB won
Trend: AUB ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: VAN by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
2-1 · #33
24
Penn State
3-0 · #32
20
Spread
PSU -9.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
17–27
✗ PSU lost
Trend: WIS ATS ✓ Model: PSU by 6 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nebraska
3-0 · #13
31
Michigan State
2-1 · #69
13
Spread
NEB -6
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▼ Under 44
Projected
28–22
✓ NEB won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: NEB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
South Florida
3-0 · #76
14
Bowling Green
0-3 · #129
6
Spread
USF -17.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▼ Under 20
Projected
35–17
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: USF by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Delaware
2-1 · #113
3
Virginia
2-1 · #49
42
Spread
UVA -19.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▼ Under 45
Projected
15–35
✓ UVA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UVA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
James Madison
3-0 · #51
46
Old Dominion
1-2 · #112
20
Spread
JMU -7
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼6
▲ Over 66 · Q2
Projected
25–18
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ODU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
2-1 · #120
3
Miami
3-0 · #3
52
Spread
MIA -41.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
4–45
✓ MIA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana
2-1 · #81
34
Charlotte
0-3 · #135
7
Spread
UL -9.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
30–21
✓ UL won
Trend: CLT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLT by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kansas State
3-0 · #41
26
Cincinnati
3-0 · #64
31
Spread
KSU -6
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
31–26
✗ KSU lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: CIN by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
2-1 · #44
41
West Virginia
3-0 · #73
24
Spread
WVU -1.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–29
✗ WVU lost
Trend: WVU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: WVU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Southern Miss
1-2 · #127
21
Tulane
1-2 · #86
24
Spread
TULN -17.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▼ Under 45
Projected
17–34
✓ TULN won
Model: USM by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
1-2 · #117
14
Arkansas State
1-2 · #103
17
Spread
ARST -6.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–29
✓ ARST won
Model: KENN by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
2-1 · #126
13
Jacksonville State
2-2 · #99
23
Spread
JXST -7
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▼ Under 36
Projected
21–29
✓ JXST won
Trend: MTSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: JXST by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
South Carolina
2-1 · #28
18
Alabama
3-0 · #5
49
Spread
ALA -12.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲7
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
20–34
✓ ALA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: ALA by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
2-1 · #24
6
LSU
2-1 · #6
35
Spread
LSU -8.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼5
▼ Under 41
Projected
22–30
✓ LSU won
Trend: LSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TA&M by 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Oregon
2-1 · #9
41
USC
4-0 · #18
27
Spread
ORE -3.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
32–29
✓ ORE won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: USC by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Arizona
2-1 · #31
34
Washington State
1-2 · #100
24
Spread
ARIZ -11.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
30–19
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: WSU ATS ✓ Model: WSU by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Troy
2-1 · #98
10
Utah State
0-3 · #95
21
Spread
USU -3
✓ USU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼5
▼ Under 31
Projected
22–25
✓ USU won
Trend: USU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: USU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
App State
3-0 · #94
31
NC State
1-2 · #61
41
Spread
NCSU -12.5
✓ APP W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
21–34
✓ NCSU won
Trend: APP ATS ✓ Model: NCSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Missouri
3-0 · #19
24
Mississippi State
3-0 · #29
31
Spread
MSST -3.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▼ Under 55
Projected
27–31
✓ MSST won
Trend: MSST ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: MIZ by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tulsa
3-0 · #87
6
Arkansas
1-2 · #57
34
Spread
ARK -7
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
23–30
✓ ARK won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✗ Model: ARK by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
2-1 · #102
45
UL Monroe
0-3 · #137
17
Spread
FAU -11.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
35–24
✓ FAU won
Trend: ULM ATS ✗ Model: ULM by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Missouri State
1-2 · #130
24
SMU
2-1 · #35
34
Spread
SMU -30.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 58
Projected
12–43
✓ SMU won
Trend: MOST ATS ✓ Model: SMU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
1-2 · #48
33
UTEP
1-2 · #136
7
Spread
ORST -11.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
33–23
✓ ORST won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗ Model: UTEP by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Massachusetts
3-0 · #123
35
Sacramento State
1-3 · #138
6
Spread
MASS -6
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
28–23
✓ MASS won
Model: SAC by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Rice
1-2 · #121
24
Fresno State
2-1 · #80
38
Spread
FRES -12.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
14–28
✓ FRES won
Model: FRES by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
1-2 · #68
27
Stanford
1-2 · #97
34
Spread
GT -3
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ GT lost
Trend: STAN ATS ✓ Model: GT by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Air Force
1-1 · #90
36
Nevada
1-2 · #109
33
Spread
AFA -4.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
27–24
✓ AFA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: NEV by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Minnesota
2-1 · #65
27
Washington
3-0 · #42
24
Spread
WASH -12.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
17–30
✗ WASH lost
Trend: MINN ATS ✓ Model: WASH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total