FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games620 final · 62 to play
Biggest Model FavoriteUNT 95%win probability
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
—
178–153–654%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
—
111–93–354%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
—
61–49–155%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
18–1358%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
3–175%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Nov 3

2
Conf
Ohio
5-2 · #96
1-6 · #133
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48
Spread edge
—
model OHIO -10
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #125
4-3 · #106
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44
Spread edge
—
model M-OH -9.5
Winner

Wednesday, Nov 4

3
Conf
2-5 · #132
4-3 · #123
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50
Spread edge
—
model MASS -7
Winner
Neutral
3-4 · #120
4-4 · #128
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49
Spread edge
—
model CMU -3
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #75
1-6 · #138
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 52
Spread edge
—
model TOL -21.5
Winner

Thursday, Nov 5

2
Conf
UTSA
6-1 · #71
4-2 · #102
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 59.5
Spread edge
—
model UTSA -6.5
Winner
Conf
7-1 · #51
1-5 · #127
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58.5
Spread edge
—
model JMU -19.5
Winner

Friday, Nov 6

5
Conf
5-2 · #45
SMU
5-1 · #35
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model SMU -6.5
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #76
3-4 · #92
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48
Spread edge
—
model USF -0.5
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #13
3-3 · #53
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 55
Spread edge
—
model NEB -9.5
Winner
Conf
5-1 · #56
2-4 · #109
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47
Spread edge
—
model UNM -12.5
Winner
Conf
TCU
3-3 · #36
5-1 · #31
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48
Spread edge
—
model ARIZ -5.5
Winner

Saturday, Nov 7

50
Conf
BYU
6-0 · #14
+3
Utah
6-0 · #10
-3
Spread
UTAH -3
 
Total
—
model 51.5
Spread edge
UTAH by 2
no lean
Spread
Winner
Trend: UTAH ATS
Conf
4-2 · #9
+6
6-1 · #2
-6
Spread
OSU -6
 
Total
—
model 52.5
Spread edge
OSU by 7.5
lean · context
Spread
Winner
Trend: OSU ATS
Conf
6-1 · #4
-4.5
5-1 · #12
+4.5
Spread
UGA -4.5
 
Total
55.5
Over 4.5
Spread edge
MISS by 0.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: UGA ATS
Conf
4-3 · #73
6-0 · #15
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 57.5
Spread edge
—
model TTU -22.5
Winner
Conf
UCLA
6-0 · #16
4-2 · #65
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47
Spread edge
—
model UCLA -11.5
Winner
Conf
6-1 · #26
6-1 · #11
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model TENN -9.5
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #5
+3.5
LSU
5-2 · #6
-3.5
Spread
LSU -3.5
 
Total
54.5
Under 2.5
Spread edge
ALA by 2
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #64
6-1 · #21
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 61
Spread edge
—
model HOU -16
Winner
Conf
Iowa
5-1 · #27
5-1 · #30
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48
Spread edge
—
model NU -1
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #8
5-2 · #19
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45
Spread edge
—
model TEX -5.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #23
5-2 · #17
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model FLA -5.5
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #57
4-2 · #25
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50.5
Spread edge
—
model AUB -12.5
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #60
4-2 · #29
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58.5
Spread edge
—
model MSST -11.5
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #24
3-3 · #28
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 52.5
Spread edge
—
model SC -2
Winner
Conf
UCF
3-3 · #55
2-4 · #46
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47
Spread edge
—
model KU -5.5
Winner
Conf
2-4 · #63
3-3 · #66
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49
Spread edge
—
model ASU -1.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #50
4-2 · #38
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47
Spread edge
—
model BAY -6
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #44
4-2 · #41
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54
Spread edge
—
model KSU -3
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #52
2-4 · #70
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model CLEM -1.5
Winner
Conf
Duke
4-2 · #43
3-3 · #61
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model DUKE -2
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #22
2-4 · #68
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 59
Spread edge
—
model LOU -10
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #40
3-3 · #79
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50
Spread edge
—
model FSU -9
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #69
+16.5
4-2 · #34
-16.5
Spread
MICH -16.5
 
Total
50.5
Under 6.5
Spread edge
MSU by 4.5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: MSU ATSTrend: Under
Conf
2-5 · #72
3-4 · #59
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58
Spread edge
—
model PUR -6
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #32
4-3 · #42
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48.5
Spread edge
—
model WASH -0.5
Winner
Conf
2-4 · #77
4-2 · #33
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 51
Spread edge
—
model WIS -16.5
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #135
UAB
4-3 · #107
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49
Spread edge
—
model UAB -15
Winner
Conf
Rice
1-6 · #121
4-2 · #54
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model UNT -22.5
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #87
3-3 · #86
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 46.5
Spread edge
—
model TULN -3
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #118
UTEP
1-6 · #136
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50.5
Spread edge
—
model HAW -3
Winner
Conf
0-6 · #134
4-3 · #111
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model SJSU -12.5
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #91
5-2 · #94
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58.5
Spread edge
—
model APP -2.5
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #112
2-5 · #116
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 43.5
Spread edge
—
model CCU -1.5
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #114
3-4 · #82
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 55
Spread edge
—
model GASO -11.5
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #101
5-2 · #81
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 57.5
Spread edge
—
model UL -8.5
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #83
Troy
3-3 · #98
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50.5
Spread edge
—
model LT -1.5
Winner
Non-conf
4-2 · #47
3-3 · #93
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49
Spread edge
—
model UNC -9.5
Winner
Conf
0-6 · #137
3-4 · #103
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model ARST -18
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #113
1-6 · #117
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model KENN -1.5
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #104
Navy
2-4 · #89
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 52.5
Spread edge
—
model NAVY -7.5
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #115
4-3 · #126
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 52.5
Spread edge
—
model WKU -1.5
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #130
3-4 · #105
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48.5
Spread edge
—
model FIU -12
Winner
Conf
6-1 · #67
3-4 · #119
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 46.5
Spread edge
—
model LIB -10
Winner
Conf
5-1 · #37
2-4 · #110
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 63.5
Spread edge
—
model BOIS -17.5
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #124
5-2 · #99
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50
Spread edge
—
model JXST -10.5
Winner
Non-conf
6-0 · #3
+6.5
6-1 · #1
-6.5
Spread
ND -6.5
 
Total
54.5
Over 2.5
Spread edge
MIA by 1
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: Over
Non-conf
5-1 · #90
Army
4-2 · #78
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53.5
Spread edge
—
model ARMY -6
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #80
2-4 · #95
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44.5
Spread edge
—
model USU -1.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #58
5-2 · #48
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 68
Spread edge
—
model ORST -6
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #122
UNLV
4-3 · #84
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45
Spread edge
—
model UNLV -14.5
Winner
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.