Temple @ Navy: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Navy · Conference game

Kickoff forecast65°F12 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Temple

2-5 · Power #104

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

Navy

2-4 · Power #89

projected

TEM 29%

71% NAVY

Spread

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Total

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model 50

Model line

NAVY -7.5

NAVY 71% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WPWLL	4-2-1	67%	2-0	—
NAVY LLLWW	2-4	33%	1-1	—

Venue/role: TEM away; NAVY home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM OUUUO	3-4	43%	2-5
NAVY OUUOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	2-8 20%	5-4-1 56%	4-6 40%
NAVY	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Temple

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs UAB	L24–34LU
Nov 19	vs RICE	No meeting since 2023
Nov 27	@ MEM	L21–45LO

Navy

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs MEM	W28–17WU
Nov 28	@ CLT	W51–17WO
Dec 12	@ ARMY	W17–16LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

TEM 1–2 NAVY NAVY leads · 3 games since 2023 · NAVY has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Navy 32 @ Temple 31	NAVY -10.5	TEM W
Sep 7 2024	Temple 11 @ Navy 38	NAVY -11.5	NAVY W
Nov 4 2023	Navy 18 @ Temple 32	NAVY -6.5	TEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−7.3 →−9.4▼ 2.1#105

NAVY−9.5 →−4.9▲ 4.6#90

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

TEM

Longer bar = better

NAVY

#56

Offense

Even

#46

#117

Defense

NAVY better ▶

#70

0.0 #74

Turnovers

◀ TEM better

−1.0 #129

59 plays #131

Pace

NAVY faster ▶

65 plays #85

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Even matchup

	TEM off	NAVY def	Edge
Points / game	25.7 #90	25.8 #90	Even
Yards / play	6.57 #27	5.35 #64	TEM
PPA / play	+0.21 #42	+0.13 #93	TEM
Success rate	43% #66	37% #32	NAVY

When NAVY has the ball

Advantage: NAVY offense

	NAVY off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	28.2 #77	28.0 #108	NAVY
Yards / play	6.40 #40	6.17 #118	NAVY
PPA / play	+0.23 #35	+0.21 #119	NAVY
Success rate	48% #31	46% #121	NAVY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the NAVY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	6.9 #55	7.3 #97	14.1 #82	3.9 #116	6.9 #68	10.7 #99
NAVY allowed	4.7 #68	14.5 #137	19.2 #130	3.2 #33	3.5 #12	6.7 #10

NAVY scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NAVY scored	5.8 #79	8.3 #80	14.2 #81	5.5 #87	8.5 #41	14.0 #57
TEM allowed	6.4 #107	4.9 #26	11.3 #56	6.4 #98	9.3 #127	15.7 #125

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.