Thu, Nov 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Temple · Conference game
RICE 28%72% TEM
Spread
—
Total
—
model 50
Model line
TEM -8
TEM 72% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Temple 72%
Projected RICE 21 – TEM 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TEM -8
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 50
How the model gets there (points from TEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadTEM rating edge+5.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginTEM by 8.1
TotalScoring ratings50.2=Model total50.2
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | |
| 2-8 20% | 5-4-1 56% | 4-6 40% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
TEM−7.3 →−9.3▼ 2.0#104
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11
Longer bar = better
#121
Offense
TEM better ▶#56
#89
Defense
◀ RICE better#117
−0.9 #128
Turnovers
TEM better ▶0.0 #74
63 plays #109
Pace
◀ RICE faster59 plays #132
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| RICE off | TEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.0 #131 | 28.0 #108 | TEM |
| Yards / play | 5.09 #119 | 6.17 #118 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #123 | +0.21 #119 | Even |
| Success rate | 39% #111 | 46% #121 | Even |
| TEM off | RICE def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.7 #90 | 29.0 #112 | TEM |
| Yards / play | 6.57 #27 | 5.62 #87 | TEM |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #42 | +0.13 #90 | TEM |
| Success rate | 43% #66 | 41% #65 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
RICE scoring against the TEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 5.7 #114 | 9.7 #119 | 1.9 #134 | 5.4 #111 | 7.3 #135 | |
6.4 #107 | 4.9 #26 | 11.3 #56 | 6.4 #98 | 9.3 #127 | 15.7 #125 |
TEM scoring against the RICE defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.9 #55 | 7.3 #96 | 14.1 #82 | 3.9 #116 | 6.9 #69 | 10.7 #99 | |
6.3 #102 | 10.4 #120 | 16.7 #117 | 4.3 #54 | 8.0 #109 | 12.3 #82 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
RICE6d
TEM6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

