Thu, Nov 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Temple · Conference game
1-6 · Power #121
21
projected
@
2-5 · Power #104
29
projected
RICE 28%
72% TEM
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 50
Model line
TEM -8
TEM 72% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Temple 72%
Projected RICE 21 – TEM 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TEM -8
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 50
How the model gets there (points from TEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadTEM rating edge+5.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginTEM by 8.1
TotalScoring ratings50.2=Model total50.2

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
TEM−7.3 →−9.3▼ 2.0#104
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

RICE
Longer bar = better
TEM
#121
Offense
TEM better ▶
#56
#89
Defense
◀ RICE better
#117
−0.9 #128
Turnovers
TEM better ▶
0.0 #74
63 plays #109
Pace
◀ RICE faster
59 plays #132
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When RICE has the ball
Even matchup
RICE offTEM defEdge
Points / game 17.0 #131 28.0 #108 TEM
Yards / play 5.09 #119 6.17 #118 Even
PPA / play −0.02 #123 +0.21 #119 Even
Success rate 39% #111 46% #121 Even
When TEM has the ball
Advantage: TEM offense
TEM offRICE defEdge
Points / game 25.7 #90 29.0 #112 TEM
Yards / play 6.57 #27 5.62 #87 TEM
PPA / play +0.21 #42 +0.13 #90 TEM
Success rate 43% #66 41% #65 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
RICE scoring against the TEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
RICE scored
4.0
#98
5.7
#114
9.7
#119
1.9
#134
5.4
#111
7.3
#135
TEM allowed
6.4
#107
4.9
#26
11.3
#56
6.4
#98
9.3
#127
15.7
#125
TEM scoring against the RICE defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TEM scored
6.9
#55
7.3
#96
14.1
#82
3.9
#116
6.9
#69
10.7
#99
RICE allowed
6.3
#102
10.4
#120
16.7
#117
4.3
#54
8.0
#109
12.3
#82

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
TEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
RICE6d
TEM6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.