Charlotte @ Tulsa: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Tulsa · Conference game

Charlotte

1-6 · Power #135

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Tulsa

4-3 · Power #87

projected

CLT 7%

93% TLSA

Spread

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Total

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model 50

Model line

TLSA -20.5

TLSA 93% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT WLLLW	3-4	43%	3-1	—
TLSA WLWLW	4-3	57%	3-0	—

Venue/role: CLT away; TLSA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT UUOOO	4-3	57%	1-6
TLSA UUOOO	3-4	43%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
TLSA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Charlotte

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs NAVY	L17–51LO

Tulsa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ UTSA	W46–45WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CLT 1–0 TLSA CLT leads · 1 game since 2023 · CLT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	Charlotte 33 @ Tulsa 26	TLSA -4	CLT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135

TLSA−10.2 →−4.7▲ 5.5#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

CLT

Longer bar = better

TLSA

#121

Offense

TLSA better ▶

#88

#130

Defense

TLSA better ▶

#63

−1.7 #138

Turnovers

TLSA better ▶

+1.6 #5

58 plays #135

Pace

TLSA faster ▶

66 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: TLSA defense

	CLT off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	19.1 #125	22.4 #58	TLSA
Yards / play	5.37 #109	5.48 #74	TLSA
PPA / play	−0.02 #124	+0.05 #52	TLSA
Success rate	38% #124	41% #67	TLSA

When TLSA has the ball

Advantage: TLSA offense

	TLSA off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #72	40.6 #136	TLSA
Yards / play	5.48 #101	6.58 #129	TLSA
PPA / play	+0.16 #65	+0.25 #124	TLSA
Success rate	39% #113	48% #132	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CLT scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.4 #125	4.0 #134	6.4 #134	5.0 #96	5.9 #96	10.9 #97
TLSA allowed	4.9 #72	5.7 #41	10.6 #49	6.3 #92	4.6 #30	10.9 #67

TLSA scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	3.4 #114	9.7 #53	13.1 #92	8.0 #27	7.0 #65	15.0 #40
CLT allowed	7.3 #117	12.0 #129	19.3 #131	8.9 #129	10.3 #133	19.1 #134

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.