UTSA @ UAB: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at UAB · Conference game

UTSA

6-1 · Power #71

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

UAB

4-3 · Power #107

projected

UTSA 72%

28% UAB

Spread

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Total

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model 54.5

Model line

UTSA -8

UTSA 72% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA WLLWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—
UAB PWLLW	3-3-1	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: UTSA away; UAB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA UOUOO	4-3	57%	6-1
UAB UUUUU	1-6	14%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
UAB	5-5 50%	4-5-1 44%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UTSA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs TLSA	L45–46LO

UAB

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ UNT	L24–53LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UTSA 1–0 UAB UTSA leads · 1 game since 2023 · UTSA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 14 2023	UAB 20 @ UTSA 41	UTSA -7.5	UTSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA+0.4 →−0.2▼ 0.6#71

UAB−11.8 →−9.6▲ 2.2#107

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

UTSA

Longer bar = better

UAB

#46

Offense

◀ UTSA better

#106

#84

Defense

UAB better ▶

#61

+0.6 #30

Turnovers

◀ UTSA better

0.0 #72

67 plays #61

Pace

Even

67 plays #59

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Even matchup

	UTSA off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	32.3 #49	24.6 #75	UTSA
Yards / play	6.15 #52	4.95 #33	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #38	+0.02 #40	Even
Success rate	46% #43	43% #96	UTSA

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: UTSA defense

	UAB off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	23.3 #104	27.0 #99	Even
Yards / play	5.06 #120	5.61 #82	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.04 #110	+0.10 #77	UTSA
Success rate	41% #88	42% #78	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	7.3 #46	10.3 #47	17.6 #44	4.7 #104	10.0 #14	14.7 #47
UAB allowed	7.0 #115	8.7 #98	15.7 #109	4.4 #58	4.4 #28	8.9 #34

UAB scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	2.9 #119	8.0 #87	10.9 #107	2.1 #133	8.4 #43	10.6 #101
UTSA allowed	7.4 #120	8.0 #80	15.4 #108	3.3 #34	8.3 #115	11.6 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.