Tue, Nov 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Western Michigan · Conference game
EMU 14%86% WMU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 47.5
Model line
WMU -15
WMU 86% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Western Michigan 86%
Projected EMU 17 – WMU 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WMU -15
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 47.5
How the model gets there (points from WMU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWMU rating edge+12.6+Home field+2.5=Model marginWMU by 15.1
TotalScoring ratings47.6=Model total47.6
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
EMU 0–3 WMU
WMU leads · 3 games since 2023 · WMU has won the last 3 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25 2025 | Western Michigan 31 @ Eastern Michigan 21 | WMU -7 | WMU W |
| Nov 30 2024 | Eastern Michigan 18 @ Western Michigan 26 | WMU -6.5 | WMU W |
| Oct 28 2023 | Western Michigan 45 @ Eastern Michigan 21 | WMU -3 | WMU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
EMU−12.8 →−16.4▼ 3.6#128
WMU−4.7 →−4.7–#86
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11
Longer bar = better
#115
Offense
WMU better ▶#83
#97
Defense
WMU better ▶#53
−0.1 #82
Turnovers
WMU better ▶+0.6 #26
67 plays #61
Pace
◀ EMU faster60 plays #125
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| EMU off | WMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.5 #109 | 16.9 #24 | WMU |
| Yards / play | 4.78 #134 | 5.01 #40 | WMU |
| PPA / play | +0.04 #107 | +0.07 #56 | WMU |
| Success rate | 40% #108 | 42% #90 | Even |
| WMU off | EMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 #91 | 25.9 #93 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.40 #107 | 5.99 #108 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.16 #64 | +0.14 #94 | WMU |
| Success rate | 43% #71 | 43% #93 | WMU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
EMU scoring against the WMU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.8 #111 | 8.1 #87 | 11.9 #100 | 5.1 #94 | 4.5 #121 | 9.6 #118 | |
3.1 #32 | 4.0 #19 | 7.1 #13 | 3.4 #37 | 6.3 #69 | 9.7 #47 |
WMU scoring against the EMU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.4 #87 | 6.9 #101 | 12.3 #99 | 4.4 #108 | 8.3 #48 | 12.7 #82 | |
3.4 #38 | 11.3 #124 | 14.6 #102 | 5.0 #72 | 6.3 #68 | 11.3 #69 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
EMU14d bye
WMU7d
EMU +7 days
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

