Miami (OH) @ Kent State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Tue, Nov 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Kent State · Conference game

Miami (OH)

4-3 · Power #106

projected

Tue 7:00 PM ET

Kent State

2-5 · Power #131

projected

M-OH 69%

31% KENT

Spread

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Total

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model 47

Model line

M-OH -7

M-OH 69% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
M-OH WWLLW	4-3	57%	1-2	—
KENT LWWLL	3-4	43%	3-0	—

Venue/role: M-OH away; KENT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
M-OH OUOUO	5-2	71%	4-3
KENT OUUOU	4-3	57%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
M-OH	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
KENT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Miami (OH)

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ WMU	L13–23LU

Kent State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ EMU	L33–52LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

M-OH 2–0 KENT M-OH leads · 2 games since 2023 · M-OH has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 13 2024	Kent State 7 @ Miami (OH) 34	M-OH -30.5	KENT W
Sep 30 2023	Miami (OH) 23 @ Kent State 3	M-OH -14	M-OH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

M-OH−6.3 →−9.6▼ 3.3#106

KENT−18.0 →−18.1▼ 0.1#131

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

M-OH

Longer bar = better

KENT

#69

Offense

◀ M-OH better

#134

#85

Defense

◀ M-OH better

#106

+0.4 #41

Turnovers

◀ M-OH better

−0.7 #122

57 plays #138

Pace

KENT faster ▶

64 plays #98

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When M-OH has the ball

Advantage: M-OH offense

	M-OH off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	26.9 #83	32.0 #120	M-OH
Yards / play	6.33 #44	5.98 #107	M-OH
PPA / play	+0.18 #56	+0.10 #78	M-OH
Success rate	41% #94	45% #118	M-OH

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: M-OH defense

	KENT off	M-OH def	Edge
Points / game	12.0 #138	25.6 #86	M-OH
Yards / play	4.30 #137	5.83 #98	M-OH
PPA / play	−0.04 #129	+0.11 #82	M-OH
Success rate	35% #133	41% #72	M-OH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

M-OH scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
M-OH scored	7.0 #50	12.3 #20	19.3 #30	3.7 #121	3.9 #125	7.6 #132
KENT allowed	5.9 #98	11.3 #125	17.1 #119	5.9 #87	9.0 #123	14.9 #118

KENT scoring against the M-OH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.3 #131	3.9 #136	6.1 #136	1.0 #138	4.9 #116	5.9 #137
M-OH allowed	8.0 #125	3.3 #11	11.3 #56	8.0 #119	6.3 #69	14.3 #114

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.