Kent State @ Bowling Green: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Bowling Green · Conference game

Kent State

2-5 · Power #131

projected

Tue 7:00 PM ET

Bowling Green

2-5 · Power #129

projected

KENT 38%

62% BGSU

Spread

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Total

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model 45

Model line

BGSU -4.5

BGSU 62% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LWWLL	3-4	43%	0-4	—
BGSU LWWWL	3-4	43%	2-2	—

Venue/role: KENT away; BGSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OUUOU	4-3	57%	2-5
BGSU OUOOO	5-2	71%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
BGSU	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kent State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	vs M-OH	L7–34WU
Nov 24	@ EMU	L33–52LO

Bowling Green

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 20	@ TOL	W28–23WO
Nov 28	vs MASS	W45–14WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

KENT 1–2 BGSU BGSU leads · 3 games since 2023 · KENT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 25 2025	Bowling Green 21 @ Kent State 24	BGSU -7.5	KENT W
Oct 19 2024	Kent State 6 @ Bowling Green 27	BGSU -23.5	KENT W
Nov 8 2023	Bowling Green 49 @ Kent State 19	BGSU -11.5	BGSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−18.0 →−18.1▼ 0.1#131

BGSU−12.7 →−16.4▼ 3.7#129

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

KENT

Longer bar = better

BGSU

#134

Offense

BGSU better ▶

#120

#106

Defense

Even

#116

−0.7 #122

Turnovers

BGSU better ▶

−0.1 #83

64 plays #98

Pace

◀ KENT faster

58 plays #134

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Even matchup

	KENT off	BGSU def	Edge
Points / game	12.0 #138	29.6 #114	BGSU
Yards / play	4.30 #137	6.28 #120	Even
PPA / play	−0.04 #129	+0.16 #105	BGSU
Success rate	35% #133	47% #125	Even

When BGSU has the ball

Even matchup

	BGSU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #129	32.0 #120	Even
Yards / play	4.84 #131	5.98 #107	KENT
PPA / play	−0.01 #122	+0.10 #78	KENT
Success rate	40% #99	45% #118	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the BGSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.3 #131	3.9 #136	6.1 #136	1.0 #138	4.9 #116	5.9 #137
BGSU allowed	6.9 #112	8.3 #85	15.1 #104	2.9 #29	10.4 #135	13.3 #99

BGSU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BGSU scored	1.4 #136	6.7 #102	8.1 #127	1.4 #136	7.4 #57	8.9 #124
KENT allowed	5.9 #98	11.3 #125	17.1 #119	5.9 #87	9.0 #123	14.9 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.