Kent State @ Sacramento State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Sacramento State · Conference game

Kickoff forecast62°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›

Kent State

2-5 · Power #131

projected

Fri 10:30 PM ET

Sacramento State

1-6 · Power #138

projected

KENT 62%

38% SAC

Spread

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Total

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model 47.5

Model line

KENT -4.5

KENT 62% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LWWLL	3-4	43%	0-4	—
SAC LWLLL	2-5	29%	2-2	—

Venue/role: KENT away; SAC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OUUOU	4-3	57%	2-5
SAC OUUOO	3-4	43%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
SAC	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kent State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	@ BGSU	W24–21WU
Nov 17	vs M-OH	L7–34WU
Nov 24	@ EMU	L33–52LO

Sacramento State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 4	vs TOL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 11	@ CMU	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	@ HAW	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−18.0 →−18.1▼ 0.1#131

SAC−16.9 →−26.2▼ 9.3#138

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

KENT

Longer bar = better

SAC

#134

Offense

Even

#132

#106

Defense

Even

#104

−0.7 #122

Turnovers

◀ KENT better

−1.4 #137

64 plays #98

Pace

SAC faster ▶

65 plays #79

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: SAC defense

	KENT off	SAC def	Edge
Points / game	12.0 #138	32.7 #127	Even
Yards / play	4.30 #137	6.11 #115	SAC
PPA / play	−0.04 #129	+0.19 #112	Even
Success rate	35% #133	41% #61	SAC

When SAC has the ball

Advantage: KENT defense

	SAC off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #135	32.0 #120	Even
Yards / play	4.64 #135	5.98 #107	KENT
PPA / play	−0.11 #137	+0.10 #78	KENT
Success rate	38% #120	45% #118	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the SAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.3 #131	3.9 #136	6.1 #136	1.0 #138	4.9 #116	5.9 #137
SAC allowed	5.0 #75	15.9 #138	20.9 #135	7.0 #105	4.9 #37	11.9 #76

SAC scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SAC scored	2.4 #125	5.1 #120	7.6 #131	1.4 #136	6.0 #94	7.4 #133
KENT allowed	5.9 #98	11.3 #125	17.1 #119	5.9 #87	9.0 #123	14.9 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.