Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Kent State · Conference game
AKR 41%59% KENT
Spread
KENT -3
open KENT -3.5
Total
47.5
model 49
Spread edge
KENT by 0.5
no lean
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
1H spread
1H total
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenKENT -3.5
CurrentKENT -3
Total43.5 → 47.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenKENT -3.5
0.5 → AKR
NowKENT -3
0.5 pts toward Akron
Total
Open43.5
▲ 4
Now47.5
Up 4 since the open
Line movement
Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot
Opened KENT -3.5 · now KENT -3 · moved 0.5 toward AKRmodel KENT -3.5
model KENT -3.5
Opened 43.5 · now 47.5 · moved 4 upmodel 49
model 49
Openline modelNow
Line context
Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (317 games)ⓘ
Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 50% (32 games since 2024)ⓘ
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenKENT -3.5
CurrentKENT -3
Total43.5 → 47.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Game preview · 1:05
Akron at Kent State: game preview
Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:34 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.
Transcript
On paper, these two are almost even. Akron visits Kent State, Saturday at 1 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Akron is 133rd and Kent State is 131st. Since the preseason, Akron has dropped from 128th to 133rd, while Kent State has held steady around 131st. Kickoff forecast at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium: 60 degrees, dry, wind 6 miles per hour. On offense, Akron ranks 114th and Kent State 134th. On defense, Kent State ranks 106th and Akron 121st. Kent State is 3 and 0 against the spread at home. Akron is 1 and 3 against the spread on the road. The model has Kent State winning 26 to 23, a 59 percent chance. Kent State is favored by 3, down from 3.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 43.5 and sits at 47.5. Our model makes it Kent State by 3.5, with a total near 49. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview
Books
9 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AKR |  KENT | Over | Under | AKR | KENT | |
| BetMGMMGM | +3-110 | -3-108 | 47.5-115 | 47.5-105 | +125 | -150 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | +3-111 | -3-109 | 48-110 | 48-110 | +127 | -147 |
| BetRiversBetRivers | +3-110 | -3-113 | 47.5-113 | 47.5-110 | +125 | -155 |
| BetUSBetUS | +3-110 | -3-110 | 48-110 | 48-110 | +125 | -145 |
| BovadaBovada | +3-115 | -3-105 | 47.5-115 | 47.5-105 | +130 | -150 |
| DraftKingsDK | +3-115 | -3-105 | 47.5-115 | 47.5-105 | +124 | -148 |
| FanDuelFD | +2.5+102 | -2.5-124 | 47.5-110 | 47.5-110 | +128 | -154 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | +3-107 | -3-105 | 48-108 | 48-108 | +127 | -147 |
| MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag | +3-110 | -3-110 | 48-110 | 48-110 | +125 | -153 |
1st-half prices
3 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | KENT | Over | Under | |
| BetUSBetUS | +0.5-108 | -0.5-112 | 23.5-105 | 23.5-115 |
| DraftKingsDK | +0.5-108 | -0.5-112 | 23.5-105 | 23.5-115 |
| FanDuelFD | +1.5-115 | -1.5-105 | 22.5-118 | 22.5-104 |
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Winner
AKRKENTBets6%
94%
Money37%
63%
Money is 31 pts ahead of bets on AKR
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like KENT as a 3-point home favorite against AKR, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.
Compare by
Customize filters
Only include
Show up togames
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 57%
Favorite covered
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.5 against an average line of 4.3; 51.1 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings |
-3 | 17–13 | W | U48.5 |
| Very close |
2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest |
-6 | 31–32 | L | O46.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread |
-2.5 | 24–10 | W | U43.5 |
| Very close |
2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest |
-6.5 | 41–17 | W | O47.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation |
-5.5 | 27–33 | L | O42 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form |
-3.5 | 21–36 | L | O53.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & spread |
-3.5 | 34–3 | W | U45.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & spread |
-2 | 18–15 | W | U50.5 |
| Close |
2025 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation |
-7 | 24–16 | W | U54.5 |
| Close |
2026 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & spread |
-3 | 61–38 | W | O54.5 |
BALL
BGSU
EMU
CMU
SHSU
FIU
MTSU
NMSU
BUFF
MASS
TEM
FAU
KENN
DEL
MOSTHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Kent State 59%
Projected AKR 23 – KENT 26 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
KENT -3.5
Market KENT -3
Against the spread
No lean
Below the 3-point lean threshold.
Total
No lean
Model 49 · Below the 5-point lean threshold.
How the model gets there (points from KENT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadKENT rating edge+0.8+Home field+2.5=Model marginKENT by 3.3
TotalScoring ratings49.5+Wind 6 mph−0.4=Model total49.1
Signals
The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Moderate Kent State ATS trend
Moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Over trend
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Akron away ATS weakness (1-3)
Weak against the spread on the road this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 216-236 (48%)
Kent State 3-0 ATS at home
Strong against the spread at home this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 228-230 (50%)
Total moved up 4
43.5 → 47.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
In 1292 games with totals 43.5–51.5, 53% went over; 4% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| KENT | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
AKR 26–19 KENT (1 tied)
AKR leads · 46 games since 1972 · KENT has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 2025 | Kent State 42 @ Akron 35 | AKR -7.5 | KENT W |
| Nov 19 2024 | Akron 38 @ Kent State 17 | AKR -10.5 | AKR W |
| Nov 1 2023 | Kent State 27 @ Akron 31 | AKR -3.5 | AKR W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
AKR−15.6 →−18.9▼ 3.3#133
KENT−18.0 →−18.2▼ 0.2#131
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7
AKRLonger bar = better
KENT#114
Offense
◀ AKR better#134
#121
Defense
KENT better ▶#106
−1.0 #131
Turnovers
Even−0.7 #122
65 plays #82
Pace
◀ AKR faster64 plays #98
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When AKR has the ball| AKR off | KENT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 18.9 #126 | 32.0 #120 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.22 #114 | 5.98 #107 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.04 #109 | +0.10 #78 | KENT |
| Success rate | 40% #107 | 45% #118 | Even |
When KENT has the ball| KENT off | AKR def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 12.0 #138 | 32.4 #124 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.30 #137 | 6.71 #132 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.04 #129 | +0.23 #122 | Even |
| Success rate | 35% #133 | 44% #107 | AKR |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
AKR scoring against the KENT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKR scored | 4.0 #98 | 4.9 #124 | 8.9 #124 | 3.3 #126 | 6.7 #73 | 10.0 #109 |
| KENT allowed | 5.9 #99 | 11.3 #125 | 17.1 #119 | 5.9 #86 | 9.0 #123 | 14.9 #118 |
KENT scoring against the AKR defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KENT scored | 2.3 #131 | 3.9 #136 | 6.1 #136 | 1.0 #138 | 4.9 #116 | 5.9 #137 |
| AKR allowed | 5.3 #83 | 12.3 #132 | 17.6 #121 | 7.7 #117 | 7.1 #95 | 14.9 #118 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
KENT +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
60° · 6 mph
Wind trims 0.4 pts off the total
Rest
AKR7d
KENT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 129 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
CONN
WMU @ 
TOL
M-OH @ 
SAC @ 
OHIO
USA @ 
MRSH