Missouri State @ Delaware: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Delaware · Conference game

Weather at kickoff58°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Missouri State

2-4 · Power #130

final

Final

Delaware

2-4 · Power #113

▲ winner

Closing spread

DEL -3

✓ DEL W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 99 pts

Model before kickoff

MOST 26–30 DEL

✓ DEL (60%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenDEL -3

CloseDEL -3

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:27

Missouri State at Delaware: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 20, 11:29 PM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDEL -3

no move

CloseDEL -3

No change since the open

Total

Open52.5

▲ 2

Close54.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened DEL -3 · unchangedmodel DEL -6.5

model DEL -6.5

Oct 20line modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (316 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenDEL -3

CloseDEL -3

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	MOST	DEL	Over	Under	MOST	DEL
BetMGMMGM	+3-115	-3-105	52.5-110	52.5-108	+120	-145
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	53-110	53-110	+120	-140
BetRiversBetRivers	+2.5-106	-2.5-118	52.5-108	52.5-115	+118	-148
BetUSBetUS	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	53-110	53-110	+120	-140
BovadaBovada	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	53-105	53-115	+120	-140
DraftKingsDK	+3.5-115	-3.5-105	54.5-108	54.5-112	+140	-166
FanDuelFD	+2.5-104	-2.5-118	52.5-115	52.5-105	+120	-144
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+2.5+101	-2.5-113	53-108	53-108	+120	-140
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+3-110	-3-110	53-110	53-110	+117	-144

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. DraftKings’ row has DEL -3.5, while the closing line on this card (the close recorded for DraftKings) is DEL -3. Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

7 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	MOST	DEL	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	+1.5-110	-1.5-108	21.5-235	21.5+175
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	26.5-115	26.5-105
BetRiversBetRivers	-0.5+125	+0.5-167	27.5-113	27.5-117
BetUSBetUS	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	26.5-115	26.5-105
BovadaBovada	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	26.5-120	26.5+100
DraftKingsDK	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	26.5-122	26.5+102
FanDuelFD	+1.5-118	-1.5-104	26.5-124	26.5+102

Last prices before kickoff from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DEL as a 3-point home favorite against MOST, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: DEL won 61–38; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 99 points went over 54.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11 against an average line of 3.5; 59.6 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Very close	DEL vs UTEP 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-4.5	61–31	W	O55.5
Very close	USM vs ULM 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	24–7	W	U56.5
Very close	NIU vs WMU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4	24–0	W	U55.5
Very close	RICE vs FAU 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation	-4.5	21–27	L	U55
Very close	BUFF vs BALL 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-3.5	51–48	L	O55.5
Very close	TLSA vs TEM 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	48–26	W	O55
Very close	GASO vs CCU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	45–40	W	O59.5
Very close	AKR vs BUFF 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	10–13	L	U55.5
Very close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	31–23	W	P54

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MOST WLWLW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-2
DEL WWLLL	3-3	50%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: MOST away, as underdog; DEL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MOST OOUUU	2-4	33%	2-4
DEL OUUUO	2-4	33%	2-4

Went over in Q3. Of 736 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MOST	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
DEL	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MOST−11.7 →−16.2▼ 4.5#128

DEL−14.3 →−12.9▲ 1.4#116

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

MOST

Longer bar = better

DEL

#101

Offense

Even

#93

#120

Defense

DEL better ▶

#97

0.0 #73

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #82

64 plays #92

Pace

Even

65 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MOST has the ball

Even matchup

	MOST off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	22.2 #108	26.8 #98	Even
Yards / play	5.56 #92	5.68 #92	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #101	+0.15 #104	Even
Success rate	40% #103	43% #93	Even

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: DEL offense

	DEL off	MOST def	Edge
Points / game	22.8 #104	30.5 #116	Even
Yards / play	5.64 #87	6.05 #112	DEL
PPA / play	+0.11 #87	+0.22 #121	DEL
Success rate	40% #94	48% #132	DEL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

MOST scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MOST scored	6.2 #70	4.8 #125	11.0 #105	7.2 #40	4.0 #123	11.2 #93
DEL allowed	6.5 #110	8.2 #84	14.7 #102	8.7 #127	3.5 #11	12.2 #80

DEL scoring against the MOST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	1.7 #134	10.3 #46	12.0 #99	3.5 #122	7.3 #61	10.8 #98
MOST allowed	5.0 #76	8.0 #78	13.0 #78	8.0 #120	9.5 #127	17.5 #129

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.