Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Western Kentucky · Conference game
Kickoff forecast65°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›
3-4 · Power #113
27
projected
@
3-4 · Power #115
30
projected
DEL 42%
58% WKU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 56.5
Model line
WKU -2.5
WKU 58% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Prices

FanDuel · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DELWKUOverUnderDELWKU
FanDuelFD-2.5-110+2.5-11059.5-11059.5-110-134+112

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Western Kentucky 58%
Projected DEL 27 – WKU 30 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WKU -2.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 56.5
How the model gets there (points from WKU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWKU rating edge−0.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.8=Model marginWKU by 2.7
TotalScoring ratings56.7=Model total56.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
DEL−14.3 →−11.4▲ 2.9#113
WKU−7.3 →−12.0▼ 4.7#114
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

DEL
Longer bar = better
WKU
#71
Offense
◀ DEL better
#123
#107
Defense
WKU better ▶
#92
+0.3 #59
Turnovers
◀ DEL better
−0.4 #100
66 plays #72
Pace
WKU faster ▶
72 plays #11
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When DEL has the ball
Even matchup
DEL offWKU defEdge
Points / game 28.3 #75 30.6 #116 DEL
Yards / play 5.77 #78 6.03 #111 DEL
PPA / play +0.19 #54 +0.12 #86 DEL
Success rate 43% #77 40% #53 WKU
When WKU has the ball
Even matchup
WKU offDEL defEdge
Points / game 21.3 #114 28.4 #110 Even
Yards / play 4.88 #129 5.90 #103 DEL
PPA / play +0.01 #117 +0.16 #107 Even
Success rate 36% #130 44% #108 DEL

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
DEL scoring against the WKU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
DEL scored
2.4
#125
11.3
#32
13.7
#86
6.0
#70
8.6
#38
14.6
#47
WKU allowed
6.3
#102
9.9
#115
16.1
#112
9.4
#134
5.0
#41
14.4
#116
WKU scoring against the DEL defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WKU scored
3.9
#104
7.7
#92
11.6
#102
3.9
#116
5.9
#96
9.7
#115
DEL allowed
7.6
#122
9.0
#102
16.6
#115
8.4
#125
3.4
#11
11.9
#76

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
WKU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
65° · 4 mph
gusts 4 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
DEL7d
WKU13d bye
WKU +6 days
Tempo
Fast 138 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.