Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Western Kentucky · Conference game
DEL 42%58% WKU
Spread
—
Total
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model 56.5
Model line
WKU -2.5
WKU 58% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Prices
FanDuel · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Under | |||||
| FanDuelFD | -2.5-110 | +2.5-110 | 59.5-110 | 59.5-110 | -134 | +112 |
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Western Kentucky 58%
Projected DEL 27 – WKU 30 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WKU -2.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 56.5
How the model gets there (points from WKU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWKU rating edge−0.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.8=Model marginWKU by 2.7
TotalScoring ratings56.7=Model total56.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
DEL 0–1 WKU
WKU leads · 1 game since 2023 · WKU has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 2025 | Western Kentucky 27 @ Delaware 24 | DEL -2.5 | WKU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
DEL−14.3 →−11.4▲ 2.9#113
WKU−7.3 →−12.0▼ 4.7#114
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#71
Offense
◀ DEL better#123
#107
Defense
WKU better ▶#92
+0.3 #59
Turnovers
◀ DEL better−0.4 #100
66 plays #72
Pace
WKU faster ▶72 plays #11
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| DEL off | WKU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 28.3 #75 | 30.6 #116 | DEL |
| Yards / play | 5.77 #78 | 6.03 #111 | DEL |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #54 | +0.12 #86 | DEL |
| Success rate | 43% #77 | 40% #53 | WKU |
| WKU off | DEL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.3 #114 | 28.4 #110 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.88 #129 | 5.90 #103 | DEL |
| PPA / play | +0.01 #117 | +0.16 #107 | Even |
| Success rate | 36% #130 | 44% #108 | DEL |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
DEL scoring against the WKU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.4 #125 | 11.3 #32 | 13.7 #86 | 6.0 #70 | 8.6 #38 | 14.6 #47 | |
6.3 #102 | 9.9 #115 | 16.1 #112 | 9.4 #134 | 5.0 #41 | 14.4 #116 |
WKU scoring against the DEL defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 7.7 #92 | 11.6 #102 | 3.9 #116 | 5.9 #96 | 9.7 #115 | |
7.6 #122 | 9.0 #102 | 16.6 #115 | 8.4 #125 | 3.4 #11 | 11.9 #76 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
65° · 4 mph
gusts 4 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
DEL7d
WKU13d bye
WKU +6 days
Tempo
Fast 138 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

