Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Delaware · Conference game
3-4 · Power #105
25
projected
@
3-4 · Power #113
26
projected
FIU 49%
51% DEL
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 51
Model line
Pick’em
DEL 51% to win
Pick this game
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Delaware 51%
Projected FIU 25 – DEL 26 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 51
How the model gets there (points from DEL’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadDEL rating edge−2.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginDEL by 0.2
TotalScoring ratings51.1=Model total51.1

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105
DEL−14.3 →−11.4▲ 2.9#113
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

FIU
Longer bar = better
DEL
#110
Offense
DEL better ▶
#71
#28
Defense
◀ FIU better
#107
−0.3 #91
Turnovers
DEL better ▶
+0.3 #59
69 plays #36
Pace
◀ FIU faster
66 plays #72
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When FIU has the ball
Even matchup
FIU offDEL defEdge
Points / game 20.1 #119 28.4 #110 Even
Yards / play 5.44 #103 5.90 #103 Even
PPA / play +0.03 #114 +0.16 #107 Even
Success rate 40% #105 44% #108 Even
When DEL has the ball
Advantage: FIU defense
DEL offFIU defEdge
Points / game 28.3 #75 16.3 #21 FIU
Yards / play 5.77 #78 4.86 #26 FIU
PPA / play +0.19 #54 +0.01 #35 Even
Success rate 43% #77 37% #30 FIU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
FIU scoring against the DEL defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
FIU scored
6.1
#74
4.9
#124
11.0
#105
5.1
#92
4.0
#123
9.1
#122
DEL allowed
7.6
#122
9.0
#102
16.6
#115
8.4
#125
3.4
#11
11.9
#76
DEL scoring against the FIU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
DEL scored
2.4
#125
11.3
#32
13.7
#86
6.0
#70
8.6
#38
14.6
#47
FIU allowed
5.3
#83
3.0
#10
8.3
#24
4.4
#59
3.6
#14
8.0
#24

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
DEL +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
FIU7d
DEL7d
Even
Tempo
Average 136 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.