Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Delaware · Conference game
FIU 49%51% DEL
Spread
—
Total
—
model 51
Model line
Pick’em
DEL 51% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Delaware 51%
Projected FIU 25 – DEL 26 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 51
How the model gets there (points from DEL’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadDEL rating edge−2.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginDEL by 0.2
TotalScoring ratings51.1=Model total51.1
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-4-1 56% | 5-5 50% | |
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
FIU 0–1 DEL
DEL leads · 1 game since 2023 · DEL has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 2025 | Delaware 38 @ Florida International 16 | FIU -5.5 | DEL W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105
DEL−14.3 →−11.4▲ 2.9#113
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#110
Offense
DEL better ▶#71
#28
Defense
◀ FIU better#107
−0.3 #91
Turnovers
DEL better ▶+0.3 #59
69 plays #36
Pace
◀ FIU faster66 plays #72
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| FIU off | DEL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.1 #119 | 28.4 #110 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.44 #103 | 5.90 #103 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.03 #114 | +0.16 #107 | Even |
| Success rate | 40% #105 | 44% #108 | Even |
| DEL off | FIU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 28.3 #75 | 16.3 #21 | FIU |
| Yards / play | 5.77 #78 | 4.86 #26 | FIU |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #54 | +0.01 #35 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #77 | 37% #30 | FIU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
FIU scoring against the DEL defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.1 #74 | 4.9 #124 | 11.0 #105 | 5.1 #92 | 4.0 #123 | 9.1 #122 | |
7.6 #122 | 9.0 #102 | 16.6 #115 | 8.4 #125 | 3.4 #11 | 11.9 #76 |
DEL scoring against the FIU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.4 #125 | 11.3 #32 | 13.7 #86 | 6.0 #70 | 8.6 #38 | 14.6 #47 | |
5.3 #83 | 3.0 #10 | 8.3 #24 | 4.4 #59 | 3.6 #14 | 8.0 #24 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
FIU7d
DEL7d
Even
Tempo
Average 136 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

