Sam Houston @ Florida International: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Florida International · Conference game

Sam Houston

1-6 · Power #124

projected

Sat 2:00 PM ET

Florida International

3-4 · Power #105

projected

SHSU 24%

76% FIU

Spread

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Total

—

model 45

Model line

FIU -10

FIU 76% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SHSU WLLLL	3-4	43%	1-2	—
FIU LLWPL	3-3-1	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: SHSU away; FIU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SHSU OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6
FIU UUUOO	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SHSU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
FIU	5-5 50%	5-4-1 56%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Sam Houston

No more games this season.

Florida International

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SHSU 1–2 FIU FIU leads · 3 games since 2023 · FIU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Florida International 56 @ Sam Houston 16	FIU -10.5	FIU W
Oct 22 2024	Sam Houston 10 @ Florida International 7	SHSU -6.5	FIU W
Oct 18 2023	Florida International 33 @ Sam Houston 27	SHSU -5.5	FIU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SHSU−20.4 →−15.4▲ 5.0#124

FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

SHSU

Longer bar = better

FIU

#123

Offense

Even

#110

#63

Defense

FIU better ▶

#28

+0.1 #68

Turnovers

◀ SHSU better

−0.3 #91

64 plays #97

Pace

FIU faster ▶

69 plays #36

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SHSU has the ball

Advantage: FIU defense

	SHSU off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #121	16.3 #21	FIU
Yards / play	5.15 #116	4.86 #26	FIU
PPA / play	−0.03 #126	+0.01 #35	FIU
Success rate	37% #127	37% #30	FIU

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: SHSU defense

	FIU off	SHSU def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #119	25.3 #80	SHSU
Yards / play	5.44 #103	5.18 #54	SHSU
PPA / play	+0.03 #114	+0.07 #62	SHSU
Success rate	40% #105	40% #54	SHSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SHSU scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SHSU scored	4.4 #94	8.3 #82	12.7 #93	4.4 #108	3.0 #136	7.4 #133
FIU allowed	5.3 #83	3.0 #10	8.3 #24	4.4 #59	3.6 #14	8.0 #24

FIU scoring against the SHSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	6.1 #74	4.9 #124	11.0 #105	5.1 #92	4.0 #123	9.1 #122
SHSU allowed	4.0 #46	7.9 #80	11.9 #67	8.0 #119	5.4 #48	13.4 #101

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.