Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Western Kentucky · Conference game
KENN 40%60% WKU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 51.5
Model line
WKU -3.5
WKU 60% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Western Kentucky 60%
Projected KENN 24 – WKU 27 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WKU -3.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 51.5
How the model gets there (points from WKU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWKU rating edge+0.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginWKU by 3.7
TotalScoring ratings51.5=Model total51.5
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
KENN 0–1 WKU
WKU leads · 1 game since 2023 · WKU has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 2024 | Kennesaw State 14 @ Western Kentucky 31 | WKU -23.5 | KENN W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KENN−10.4 →−12.6▼ 2.2#117
WKU−7.3 →−12.0▼ 4.7#114
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#93
Offense
◀ KENN better#123
#97
Defense
Even#92
0.0 #81
Turnovers
◀ KENN better−0.4 #100
66 plays #76
Pace
WKU faster ▶72 plays #11
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| KENN off | WKU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.0 #123 | 30.6 #116 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.48 #99 | 6.03 #111 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #87 | +0.12 #86 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #64 | 40% #53 | Even |
| WKU off | KENN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.3 #114 | 25.0 #78 | KENN |
| Yards / play | 4.88 #129 | 5.80 #96 | KENN |
| PPA / play | +0.01 #117 | +0.15 #103 | Even |
| Success rate | 36% #130 | 45% #112 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KENN scoring against the WKU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 7.3 #96 | 11.3 #103 | 5.1 #92 | 3.6 #133 | 8.7 #127 | |
6.3 #102 | 9.9 #115 | 16.1 #112 | 9.4 #134 | 5.0 #41 | 14.4 #116 |
WKU scoring against the KENN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 7.7 #92 | 11.6 #102 | 3.9 #116 | 5.9 #96 | 9.7 #115 | |
5.0 #75 | 6.9 #66 | 11.9 #67 | 7.6 #112 | 5.6 #53 | 13.1 #97 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KENN7d
WKU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 138 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

