Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at East Carolina · Conference game

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · Power #102

projected

Fri 12:00 AM ET

East Carolina

3-4 · Power #93

projected

FAU 33%

67% ECU

Spread

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Total

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model 60

Model line

ECU -6.5

ECU 67% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU WWWWL	4-2	67%	1-2	—
ECU WLWLW	3-4	43%	1-2	—

Venue/role: FAU away; ECU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU OUOOO	5-1	83%	4-2
ECU UUUUO	2-5	29%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
ECU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida Atlantic

No more games this season.

East Carolina

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

FAU 0–4 ECU ECU leads · 4 games since 2013 · ECU has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	East Carolina 42 @ Florida Atlantic 3	ECU -6.5	ECU W
Nov 7 2024	Florida Atlantic 14 @ East Carolina 49	ECU -5.5	ECU W
Nov 11 2023	East Carolina 22 @ Florida Atlantic 7	FAU -7.5	ECU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−10.2 →−9.0▲ 1.2#102

ECU+2.1 →−5.4▼ 7.5#93

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

FAU

Longer bar = better

ECU

#52

Offense

◀ FAU better

#109

#114

Defense

ECU better ▶

#37

+0.3 #52

Turnovers

◀ FAU better

−0.6 #111

76 plays #6

Pace

◀ FAU faster

67 plays #59

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #38	26.3 #94	FAU
Yards / play	5.46 #102	4.87 #29	ECU
PPA / play	+0.24 #31	−0.02 #20	Even
Success rate	47% #35	34% #5	ECU

When ECU has the ball

Even matchup

	ECU off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #92	31.5 #118	ECU
Yards / play	5.22 #115	6.34 #123	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #112	+0.25 #125	Even
Success rate	39% #117	42% #88	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	12.2 #5	13.3 #13	25.5 #3	6.7 #54	2.8 #137	9.5 #119
ECU allowed	2.3 #11	9.7 #111	12.0 #70	5.6 #84	5.9 #61	11.4 #71

ECU scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	6.4 #62	8.7 #76	15.1 #69	4.6 #106	5.3 #113	9.9 #110
FAU allowed	8.0 #125	11.0 #123	19.0 #128	4.7 #67	7.8 #103	12.5 #87

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.