Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Rice · Conference game
4-2 · Power #78
28
projected
@
1-6 · Power #121
21
projected
ARMY 73%
27% RICE
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 49
Model line
ARMY -8.5
ARMY 73% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Army 73%
Projected ARMY 28 – RICE 21 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
ARMY -8.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49
How the model gets there (points from RICE’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRICE rating edge−11.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginARMY by 8.7
TotalScoring ratings48.9=Model total48.9

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
ARMY−10.8 →−3.0▲ 7.8#77
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

ARMY
Longer bar = better
RICE
#22
Offense
◀ ARMY better
#121
#99
Defense
Even
#88
+0.3 #52
Turnovers
◀ ARMY better
−0.9 #128
65 plays #78
Pace
◀ ARMY faster
63 plays #109
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When ARMY has the ball
Advantage: ARMY offense
ARMY offRICE defEdge
Points / game 34.8 #39 29.0 #112 ARMY
Yards / play 6.55 #28 5.62 #86 ARMY
PPA / play +0.32 #13 +0.13 #90 ARMY
Success rate 52% #6 41% #65 ARMY
When RICE has the ball
Advantage: ARMY defense
RICE offARMY defEdge
Points / game 17.0 #131 20.0 #41 ARMY
Yards / play 5.09 #119 6.38 #125 Even
PPA / play −0.02 #123 +0.21 #117 Even
Success rate 39% #111 45% #114 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
ARMY scoring against the RICE defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
ARMY scored
9.3
#20
7.5
#94
16.8
#52
6.0
#71
12.0
#3
18.0
#18
RICE allowed
6.3
#102
10.4
#120
16.7
#117
4.3
#54
8.0
#109
12.3
#82
RICE scoring against the ARMY defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
RICE scored
4.0
#98
5.7
#114
9.7
#119
1.9
#134
5.4
#111
7.3
#135
ARMY allowed
5.8
#96
2.2
#3
8.0
#21
6.3
#93
5.7
#57
12.0
#78

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
RICE +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
ARMY7d
RICE8d
RICE +1 day
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.