Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Rice · Conference game
ARMY 73%27% RICE
Spread
—
Total
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model 49
Model line
ARMY -8.5
ARMY 73% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Army 73%
Projected ARMY 28 – RICE 21 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
ARMY -8.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 49
How the model gets there (points from RICE’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRICE rating edge−11.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginARMY by 8.7
TotalScoring ratings48.9=Model total48.9
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 5-4-1 56% | 7-3 70% | |
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
| Date | Game | Last meeting |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12 | vs NAVY | L16–17WU |
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
ARMY 1–0 RICE
ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 2024 | Rice 14 @ Army 37 | ARMY -7.5 | ARMY W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
ARMY−10.8 →−3.0▲ 7.8#77
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#22
Offense
◀ ARMY better#121
#99
Defense
Even#88
+0.3 #52
Turnovers
◀ ARMY better−0.9 #128
65 plays #78
Pace
◀ ARMY faster63 plays #109
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| ARMY off | RICE def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 34.8 #39 | 29.0 #112 | ARMY |
| Yards / play | 6.55 #28 | 5.62 #86 | ARMY |
| PPA / play | +0.32 #13 | +0.13 #90 | ARMY |
| Success rate | 52% #6 | 41% #65 | ARMY |
| RICE off | ARMY def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.0 #131 | 20.0 #41 | ARMY |
| Yards / play | 5.09 #119 | 6.38 #125 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #123 | +0.21 #117 | Even |
| Success rate | 39% #111 | 45% #114 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
ARMY scoring against the RICE defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9.3 #20 | 7.5 #94 | 16.8 #52 | 6.0 #71 | 12.0 #3 | 18.0 #18 | |
6.3 #102 | 10.4 #120 | 16.7 #117 | 4.3 #54 | 8.0 #109 | 12.3 #82 |
RICE scoring against the ARMY defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 5.7 #114 | 9.7 #119 | 1.9 #134 | 5.4 #111 | 7.3 #135 | |
5.8 #96 | 2.2 #3 | 8.0 #21 | 6.3 #93 | 5.7 #57 | 12.0 #78 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
ARMY7d
RICE8d
RICE +1 day
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

