UAB @ North Texas: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at North Texas · Conference game

UAB

4-3 · Power #107

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

North Texas

4-2 · Power #54

projected

UAB 10%

90% UNT

Spread

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Total

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model 59.5

Model line

UNT -18

UNT 90% to win

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Winner

Market

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Spread

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Opening line not available

Total

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB PWLLW	3-3-1	50%	1-1-1	—
UNT WLWLW	4-2	67%	3-0	—

Venue/role: UAB away; UNT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB UUUUU	1-6	14%	4-3
UNT UOOOO	5-1	83%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UAB	5-5 50%	4-5-1 44%	2-8 20%
UNT	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UAB

No more games this season.

North Texas

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UAB 0–2 UNT UNT leads · 2 games since 2023 · UNT has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	North Texas 53 @ UAB 24	UNT -17.5	UNT W
Nov 25 2023	UAB 42 @ North Texas 45	UNT -2	UNT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UAB−11.8 →−9.6▲ 2.2#107

UNT+4.5 →+4.6▲ 0.1#52

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

UAB

Longer bar = better

UNT

#106

Offense

UNT better ▶

#10

#61

Defense

◀ UAB better

#99

0.0 #72

Turnovers

UNT better ▶

+0.3 #50

67 plays #59

Pace

UNT faster ▶

73 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Even matchup

	UAB off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	23.3 #104	29.2 #113	Even
Yards / play	5.06 #120	5.52 #77	UNT
PPA / play	+0.04 #110	+0.15 #101	Even
Success rate	41% #88	44% #105	Even

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: UNT offense

	UNT off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	42.2 #4	24.6 #75	UNT
Yards / play	7.30 #5	4.95 #33	UNT
PPA / play	+0.36 #4	+0.02 #40	UNT
Success rate	48% #28	43% #96	UNT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UAB scoring against the UNT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	2.9 #119	8.0 #87	10.9 #107	2.1 #133	8.4 #43	10.6 #101
UNT allowed	7.5 #121	8.5 #90	16.0 #111	4.0 #49	8.2 #114	12.2 #80

UNT scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNT scored	7.8 #40	15.3 #3	23.2 #12	11.0 #8	6.8 #70	17.8 #19
UAB allowed	7.0 #115	8.7 #98	15.7 #109	4.4 #58	4.4 #28	8.9 #34

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.