North Texas @ Tulane: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Tulane · Conference game

North Texas

4-2 · Power #54

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Tulane

3-3 · Power #86

projected

UNT 69%

31% TULN

Spread

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Total

—

model 56.5

Model line

UNT -7

UNT 69% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNT WLWLW	4-2	67%	1-2	—
TULN LWLWW	3-3	50%	1-2	—

Venue/role: UNT away; TULN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNT UOOOO	5-1	83%	4-2
TULN OOUUU	2-4	33%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNT	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	8-2 80%
TULN	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

North Texas

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs UAB	W53–24WO

Tulane

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	@ USF	W45–10WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

UNT 0–3 TULN TULN leads · 3 games since 2023 · TULN has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 5 2025	North Texas 21 @ Tulane 34	UNT -1.5	TULN W
Oct 26 2024	Tulane 45 @ North Texas 37	TULN -7.5	TULN W
Oct 21 2023	North Texas 28 @ Tulane 35	TULN -20	UNT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UNT+4.5 →+4.6▲ 0.1#52

TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

UNT

Longer bar = better

TULN

#10

Offense

◀ UNT better

#111

#99

Defense

TULN better ▶

#75

+0.3 #50

Turnovers

Even

+0.3 #53

73 plays #8

Pace

◀ UNT faster

59 plays #128

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: UNT offense

	UNT off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	42.2 #4	21.7 #52	UNT
Yards / play	7.30 #5	5.94 #104	UNT
PPA / play	+0.36 #4	+0.09 #70	UNT
Success rate	48% #28	42% #75	UNT

When TULN has the ball

Even matchup

	TULN off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #116	29.2 #113	Even
Yards / play	5.61 #89	5.52 #77	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #102	+0.15 #101	Even
Success rate	33% #137	44% #105	UNT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UNT scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNT scored	7.8 #40	15.3 #3	23.2 #12	11.0 #8	6.8 #70	17.8 #19
TULN allowed	4.5 #62	6.8 #64	11.3 #60	3.5 #38	6.8 #87	10.3 #58

TULN scoring against the UNT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	2.3 #129	8.3 #80	10.7 #111	2.8 #127	7.0 #65	9.8 #112
UNT allowed	7.5 #121	8.5 #90	16.0 #111	4.0 #49	8.2 #114	12.2 #80

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.