Akron @ Massachusetts: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Wed, Nov 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Massachusetts · Conference game

Akron

1-6 · Power #133

projected

Wed 12:00 AM ET

Massachusetts

4-4 · Power #123

projected

AKR 31%

69% MASS

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49.5

Model line

MASS -7

MASS 69% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AKR LLLWL	3-4	43%	1-3	—
MASS WLWLL	4-4	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: AKR away; MASS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AKR UUOUO	4-3	57%	1-6
MASS UOUUU	2-6	25%	4-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AKR	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
MASS	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Akron

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	vs BUFF	W24–16WU

Massachusetts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ BGSU	L14–45LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

AKR 1–0 MASS AKR leads · 1 game since 2023 · AKR has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2025	Massachusetts 10 @ Akron 44	AKR -12.5	AKR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

AKR−15.6 →−19.0▼ 3.4#133

MASS−25.4 →−14.8▲ 10.6#123

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

AKR

Longer bar = better

MASS

#114

Offense

MASS better ▶

#77

#121

Defense

MASS better ▶

#33

−1.0 #131

Turnovers

MASS better ▶

+0.9 #12

65 plays #82

Pace

◀ AKR faster

59 plays #130

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AKR has the ball

Advantage: MASS defense

	AKR off	MASS def	Edge
Points / game	18.9 #126	21.1 #45	MASS
Yards / play	5.22 #114	4.84 #25	MASS
PPA / play	+0.04 #109	−0.04 #15	MASS
Success rate	40% #107	39% #47	MASS

When MASS has the ball

Advantage: MASS offense

	MASS off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	26.5 #87	32.4 #124	MASS
Yards / play	5.68 #87	6.71 #132	MASS
PPA / play	+0.16 #62	+0.23 #122	MASS
Success rate	43% #70	44% #107	MASS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

AKR scoring against the MASS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	4.0 #98	4.9 #124	8.9 #124	3.3 #126	6.7 #74	10.0 #109
MASS allowed	5.6 #88	4.0 #19	9.6 #43	4.3 #53	6.4 #76	10.6 #63

MASS scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MASS scored	7.6 #42	6.9 #100	14.5 #79	5.0 #95	7.0 #65	12.0 #88
AKR allowed	5.3 #83	12.3 #132	17.6 #121	7.7 #117	7.1 #95	14.9 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.