Clemson @ Duke: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Fri, Nov 20, 2026, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Duke · Conference game

Clemson

4-2 · Power #52

projected

Fri 7:30 PM ET

Duke

4-2 · Power #43

projected

CLEM 37%

63% DUKE

Spread

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Total

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model 48

Model line

DUKE -4.5

DUKE 63% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM LWWLL	2-4	33%	1-1	—
DUKE WWWLL	4-2	67%	3-1	—

Venue/role: CLEM away; DUKE home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM UOUOU	3-3	50%	4-2
DUKE OUOOU	3-3	50%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEM	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
DUKE	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Clemson

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs SC	W28–14WU

Duke

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ WAKE	W49–32WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CLEM 0–2 DUKE DUKE leads · 2 games since 2023 · DUKE has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 1 2025	Duke 46 @ Clemson 45	CLEM -4.5	DUKE W
Sep 4 2023	Clemson 7 @ Duke 28	CLEM -13	DUKE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLEM+10.7 →+3.9▼ 6.8#54

DUKE+3.8 →+6.4▲ 2.6#41

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

CLEM

Longer bar = better

DUKE

#122

Offense

DUKE better ▶

#52

#51

Defense

Even

#45

−0.7 #119

Turnovers

DUKE better ▶

+0.3 #54

70 plays #35

Pace

Even

71 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLEM has the ball

Advantage: DUKE defense

	CLEM off	DUKE def	Edge
Points / game	22.3 #107	16.0 #18	DUKE
Yards / play	4.88 #128	4.97 #37	DUKE
PPA / play	−0.02 #125	+0.07 #61	DUKE
Success rate	37% #129	41% #63	DUKE

When DUKE has the ball

Even matchup

	DUKE off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #54	21.5 #49	Even
Yards / play	6.26 #49	5.05 #45	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #32	+0.01 #38	Even
Success rate	43% #72	42% #73	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CLEM scoring against the DUKE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	4.3 #96	8.2 #83	12.5 #97	2.7 #129	7.2 #61	9.8 #112
DUKE allowed	5.7 #89	5.8 #45	11.5 #64	1.7 #7	2.8 #6	4.5 #3

DUKE scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DUKE scored	4.7 #93	12.0 #25	16.7 #55	7.0 #43	8.0 #49	15.0 #40
CLEM allowed	8.0 #125	5.2 #29	13.2 #85	3.8 #41	4.5 #29	8.3 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.