South Carolina @ Clemson: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Clemson

South Carolina

3-3 · Power #28

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Clemson

4-2 · Power #52

projected

SC 46%

54% CLEM

Spread

CLEM -3

Total

53.5

model 52.5

Spread edge

SC by 7.5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentCLEM -3

Total53.5

Last updateSep 29, 12:25 AM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowCLEM -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now53.5

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (318 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentCLEM -3

Total53.5

Last updateSep 29, 12:25 AM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 3-point home favorite against SC, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 4 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 2.9 against an average line of 2.7; 50.9 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ISU vs KU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	21–28	L	U53.5
Very close	BC vs PITT 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	34–23	W	O50.5
Very close	CLEM vs FSU 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-1.5	24–10	W	U56.5
Very close	NCSU vs DUKE 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	19–29	L	U51.5
Very close	SC vs UK 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	17–14	W	U52.5
Very close	TULN vs UTSA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & total	-3.5	29–16	W	U52.5
Very close	BC vs SYR 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	37–31	W	O52
Close	ISU vs KSU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	29–21	W	U51.5
Close	UCF vs BYU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar total & spread	-2.5	24–37	L	O53.5
Close	ASU vs UCF 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	35–31	W	O55.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SC LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-1	1-1
CLEM LWWLL	2-4	33%	1-3	2-2

Venue/role: SC away, as underdog; CLEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SC UOOOU	4-2	67%	3-3
CLEM UOUOU	3-3	50%	4-2

In 1493 games with totals 49.5–57.5, 51% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SC	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
CLEM	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

South Carolina

No more games this season.

Clemson

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SC 1–2 CLEM CLEM leads · 3 games since 2023 · CLEM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Clemson 28 @ South Carolina 14	SC -2.5	CLEM W
Nov 30 2024	South Carolina 17 @ Clemson 14	CLEM -2.5	SC W
Nov 25 2023	Clemson 16 @ South Carolina 7	CLEM -7.5	CLEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SC+9.4 →+11.1▲ 1.7#28

CLEM+10.7 →+3.9▼ 6.8#54

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

CLEM

#38

Offense

◀ SC better

#122

#83

Defense

CLEM better ▶

#51

−0.5 #108

Turnovers

Even

−0.7 #119

73 plays #9

Pace

◀ SC faster

70 plays #34

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SC has the ball

Even matchup

	SC off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	37.7 #17	21.5 #49	SC
Yards / play	6.52 #34	5.05 #44	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #48	+0.01 #38	Even
Success rate	45% #54	42% #73	Even

When CLEM has the ball

Advantage: SC defense

	CLEM off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	22.3 #107	25.5 #84	SC
Yards / play	4.88 #128	5.37 #65	SC
PPA / play	−0.02 #125	+0.16 #108	Even
Success rate	37% #129	42% #76	SC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SC scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	8.0 #34	11.3 #30	19.3 #28	7.0 #43	10.2 #12	17.2 #24
CLEM allowed	8.0 #125	5.2 #29	13.2 #86	3.8 #41	4.5 #28	8.3 #29

CLEM scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	4.3 #96	8.2 #84	12.5 #97	2.7 #129	7.2 #60	9.8 #112
SC allowed	3.5 #41	8.5 #91	12.0 #70	6.7 #100	5.5 #50	12.2 #80

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.