Notre Dame @ Syracuse: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Syracuse

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Notre Dame

6-1 · Power #1

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Syracuse

2-4 · Power #70

projected

ND 97%

3% SYR

Spread

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Total

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model 54.5

Model line

ND -26

ND 97% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ND LWLWL	4-3	57%	1-2	—
SYR LLLWW	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: ND away; SYR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ND UOOOO	5-2	71%	6-1
SYR UUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ND	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
SYR	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Notre Dame

No more games this season.

Syracuse

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ND 9–3 SYR ND leads · 12 games since 1914 · ND has won the last 6 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Syracuse 7 @ Notre Dame 70	ND -36.5	ND W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ND+24.9 →+26.2▲ 1.3#1

SYR−3.6 →+0.7▲ 4.3#66

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

SYR

#13

Offense

◀ ND better

#83

Defense

◀ ND better

#76

+2.0 #2

Turnovers

◀ ND better

−0.3 #96

68 plays #50

Pace

SYR faster ▶

81 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ND has the ball

Advantage: ND offense

	ND off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	41.1 #6	25.7 #89	ND
Yards / play	6.52 #33	5.37 #66	ND
PPA / play	+0.36 #5	+0.08 #69	ND
Success rate	51% #9	42% #81	ND

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: ND defense

	SYR off	ND def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #53	13.4 #5	ND
Yards / play	5.55 #94	4.30 #6	ND
PPA / play	+0.05 #104	−0.08 #9	ND
Success rate	42% #81	35% #13	ND

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ND scoring against the SYR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ND scored	11.3 #9	13.7 #11	25.0 #6	6.6 #59	9.6 #21	16.1 #31
SYR allowed	5.8 #96	6.3 #56	12.2 #75	4.5 #63	7.8 #103	12.3 #83

SYR scoring against the ND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SYR scored	6.7 #61	15.0 #5	21.7 #14	2.5 #131	6.2 #90	8.7 #128
ND allowed	2.4 #14	5.4 #34	7.9 #20	2.7 #26	2.9 #7	5.6 #5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.