Cincinnati @ BYU: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at BYU · Conference game

Cincinnati

4-2 · Power #64

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

BYU

6-0 · Power #14

projected

CIN 6%

94% BYU

Spread

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Total

—

model 54.5

Model line

BYU -21.5

BYU 94% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN WLWLL	3-3	50%	0-2	—
BYU WWWWW	6-0	100%	4-0	—

Venue/role: CIN away; BYU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN OOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2
BYU UOUUO	3-3	50%	6-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
BYU	9-1 90%	8-1 89%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Cincinnati

No more games this season.

BYU

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CIN 0–2 BYU BYU leads · 2 games since 2023 · BYU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	BYU 26 @ Cincinnati 14	BYU -2.5	BYU W
Sep 29 2023	Cincinnati 27 @ BYU 35	Pick’em	BYU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN+1.4 →+1.0▼ 0.4#65

BYU+10.7 →+15.4▲ 4.7#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CIN

Longer bar = better

BYU

#21

Offense

Even

#23

#112

Defense

BYU better ▶

#18

+0.8 #16

Turnovers

◀ CIN better

+0.5 #40

66 plays #75

Pace

◀ CIN faster

62 plays #114

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	35.2 #35	15.2 #14	BYU
Yards / play	6.99 #10	4.42 #11	Even
PPA / play	+0.34 #6	−0.01 #27	CIN
Success rate	47% #34	35% #20	Even

When BYU has the ball

Advantage: BYU offense

	BYU off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	33.5 #40	26.8 #97	BYU
Yards / play	6.79 #18	6.16 #117	BYU
PPA / play	+0.30 #17	+0.21 #116	BYU
Success rate	50% #15	45% #119	BYU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CIN scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	4.0 #98	8.7 #78	12.7 #94	11.7 #3	10.8 #8	22.5 #1
BYU allowed	3.3 #35	4.0 #20	7.3 #16	2.2 #13	5.7 #57	7.8 #20

BYU scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	9.3 #20	12.2 #23	21.5 #16	6.3 #66	5.7 #103	12.0 #88
CIN allowed	4.5 #62	8.7 #96	13.2 #85	4.8 #71	8.8 #122	13.7 #107

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.