UCF @ Colorado: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Colorado · Conference game

UCF

3-3 · Power #55

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Colorado

2-4 · Power #63

projected

UCF 37%

63% COLO

Spread

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Total

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model 45

Model line

COLO -4.5

COLO 63% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UCF WLWWL	4-2	67%	2-1	—
COLO LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	—

Venue/role: UCF away; COLO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UCF UOUUO	3-3	50%	3-3
COLO OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UCF	4-6 40%	4-5 44%	6-4 60%
COLO	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UCF

No more games this season.

Colorado

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UCF 0–1 COLO COLO leads · 1 game since 2023 · COLO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	Colorado 48 @ UCF 21	UCF -12.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UCF+0.7 →+3.5▲ 2.8#56

COLO−0.7 →+1.4▲ 2.1#63

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

UCF

Longer bar = better

COLO

#81

Offense

◀ UCF better

#112

#48

Defense

Even

#49

+0.7 #26

Turnovers

◀ UCF better

−1.0 #130

61 plays #122

Pace

COLO faster ▶

71 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UCF has the ball

Advantage: COLO defense

	UCF off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #52	25.7 #88	UCF
Yards / play	5.83 #71	5.04 #44	COLO
PPA / play	+0.07 #99	0.00 #31	COLO
Success rate	40% #100	38% #34	COLO

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: UCF defense

	COLO off	UCF def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #124	21.7 #50	UCF
Yards / play	5.54 #96	5.07 #49	UCF
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	0.00 #33	UCF
Success rate	40% #109	41% #60	UCF

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UCF scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCF scored	11.0 #12	6.2 #108	17.2 #49	8.2 #24	6.3 #85	14.5 #49
COLO allowed	4.0 #46	7.8 #76	11.8 #66	5.5 #81	8.3 #117	13.8 #110

COLO scoring against the UCF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.2 #89	4.7 #127	9.8 #118	5.0 #96	4.7 #120	9.7 #117
UCF allowed	4.0 #46	7.2 #70	11.2 #55	3.8 #41	6.7 #84	10.5 #63

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.