Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Oklahoma State · Conference game
KU 40%60% OKST
Spread
—
Total
—
model 58.5
Model line
OKST -3.5
OKST 60% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Oklahoma State 60%
Projected KU 27 – OKST 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
OKST -3.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 58.5
How the model gets there (points from OKST’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadOKST rating edge+1.1+Home field+2.5=Model marginOKST by 3.6
TotalScoring ratings58.4=Model total58.4
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 3-6-1 33% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
KU 31–41 OKST (3 tied)
OKST leads · 75 games since 1923 · KU has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 2025 | Oklahoma State 21 @ Kansas 38 | KU -24.5 | OKST W |
| Oct 14 2023 | Kansas 32 @ Oklahoma State 39 | KU -2.5 | OKST W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KU+3.1 →+5.3▲ 2.2#47
OKST−8.9 →+6.1▲ 15.0#43
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#59
Offense
OKST better ▶#27
#57
Defense
◀ KU better#73
−0.5 #102
Turnovers
◀ KU better−0.7 #118
70 plays #36
Pace
OKST faster ▶72 plays #17
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| KU off | OKST def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 32.0 #50 | 23.7 #68 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.45 #36 | 5.32 #63 | KU |
| PPA / play | +0.15 #72 | +0.10 #76 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #78 | 42% #86 | Even |
| OKST off | KU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 37.2 #21 | 24.0 #73 | OKST |
| Yards / play | 7.24 #7 | 5.43 #70 | OKST |
| PPA / play | +0.16 #61 | +0.04 #46 | Even |
| Success rate | 49% #17 | 38% #38 | OKST |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KU scoring against the OKST defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.3 #96 | 13.2 #14 | 17.5 #45 | 7.0 #43 | 7.5 #56 | 14.5 #49 | |
6.3 #105 | 6.3 #56 | 12.7 #77 | 6.3 #93 | 4.7 #34 | 11.0 #68 |
OKST scoring against the KU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.0 #91 | 10.8 #37 | 15.8 #65 | 11.0 #8 | 10.3 #11 | 21.3 #3 | |
4.0 #46 | 6.5 #60 | 10.5 #48 | 5.7 #84 | 7.8 #103 | 13.5 #104 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KU7d
OKST7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 141 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

