Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Tue, Nov 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Western Michigan · Conference game

Miami (OH)

4-3 · Power #106

projected

Tue 12:00 AM ET

Western Michigan

5-2 · Power #88

projected

M-OH 29%

71% WMU

Spread

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Total

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model 45

Model line

WMU -8

WMU 71% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
M-OH WWLLW	4-3	57%	1-2	—
WMU LLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—

Venue/role: M-OH away; WMU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
M-OH OUOUO	5-2	71%	4-3
WMU OUUOU	3-4	43%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
M-OH	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
WMU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Miami (OH)

No more games this season.

Western Michigan

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

M-OH 24–21 WMU (1 tied) M-OH leads · 46 games since 1962 · WMU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 6 2025	Miami (OH) 13 @ Western Michigan 23	WMU -2.5	WMU W
Oct 25 2025	Western Michigan 17 @ Miami (OH) 26	M-OH -2.5	M-OH W
Oct 14 2023	Miami (OH) 34 @ Western Michigan 21	M-OH -7.5	M-OH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

M-OH−6.3 →−9.6▼ 3.3#106

WMU−4.7 →−4.7–#86

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

M-OH

Longer bar = better

WMU

#69

Offense

◀ M-OH better

#83

#85

Defense

WMU better ▶

#53

+0.4 #41

Turnovers

WMU better ▶

+0.6 #26

57 plays #138

Pace

Even

60 plays #125

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When M-OH has the ball

Even matchup

	M-OH off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	26.9 #83	16.9 #24	WMU
Yards / play	6.33 #44	5.01 #40	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #56	+0.07 #56	Even
Success rate	41% #94	42% #90	Even

When WMU has the ball

Even matchup

	WMU off	M-OH def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #91	25.6 #86	Even
Yards / play	5.40 #107	5.83 #98	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #64	+0.11 #82	Even
Success rate	43% #71	41% #72	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

M-OH scoring against the WMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
M-OH scored	7.0 #50	12.3 #20	19.3 #30	3.7 #121	3.9 #125	7.6 #132
WMU allowed	3.1 #32	4.0 #19	7.1 #13	3.4 #37	6.3 #69	9.7 #47

WMU scoring against the M-OH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WMU scored	5.4 #87	6.9 #101	12.3 #99	4.4 #108	8.3 #48	12.7 #82
M-OH allowed	8.0 #125	3.3 #11	11.3 #56	8.0 #119	6.3 #69	14.3 #114

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.