Sacramento State @ Hawai'i: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 11:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Hawai'i

Sacramento State

1-6 · Power #138

projected

Sat 11:00 PM ET

Hawai'i

1-6 · Power #118

projected

SAC 10%

90% HAW

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49

Model line

HAW -18

HAW 90% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SAC LWLLL	2-5	29%	0-3	—
HAW WLLWW	3-4	43%	2-2	—

Venue/role: SAC away; HAW home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SAC OUUOO	3-4	43%	1-6
HAW UUUUU	1-6	14%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SAC	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
HAW	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Sacramento State

No more games this season.

Hawai'i

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SAC−16.9 →−26.2▼ 9.3#138

HAW−7.0 →−13.3▼ 6.3#119

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

SAC

Longer bar = better

HAW

#132

Offense

Even

#123

#104

Defense

Even

#103

−1.4 #137

Turnovers

HAW better ▶

−0.3 #92

65 plays #79

Pace

HAW faster ▶

70 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SAC has the ball

Advantage: HAW defense

	SAC off	HAW def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #135	25.0 #77	HAW
Yards / play	4.64 #135	6.10 #113	HAW
PPA / play	−0.11 #137	+0.19 #111	HAW
Success rate	38% #120	45% #111	Even

When HAW has the ball

Even matchup

	HAW off	SAC def	Edge
Points / game	15.7 #133	32.7 #127	Even
Yards / play	4.90 #124	6.11 #115	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #120	+0.19 #112	Even
Success rate	39% #116	41% #61	SAC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SAC scoring against the HAW defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SAC scored	2.4 #125	5.1 #120	7.6 #131	1.4 #136	6.0 #94	7.4 #133
HAW allowed	3.4 #39	8.7 #98	12.1 #74	4.6 #66	8.3 #115	12.9 #94

HAW scoring against the SAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HAW scored	2.6 #124	4.3 #131	6.9 #133	2.7 #128	6.1 #92	8.9 #124
SAC allowed	5.0 #75	15.9 #138	20.9 #135	7.0 #105	4.9 #37	11.9 #76

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.