Nevada @ UNLV: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 9:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at UNLV · Conference game

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Nevada

2-4 · Power #109

projected

Sat 9:00 PM ET

UNLV

4-3 · Power #84

projected

NEV 23%

77% UNLV

Spread

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Total

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model 49.5

Model line

UNLV -10

UNLV 77% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEV LLWWW	4-2	67%	2-1	—
UNLV LWWWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—

Venue/role: NEV away; UNLV home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEV UUOUO	3-3	50%	2-4
UNLV UUOUO	2-5	29%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEV	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
UNLV	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Nevada

No more games this season.

UNLV

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

NEV 0–3 UNLV UNLV leads · 3 games since 2023 · UNLV has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	UNLV 42 @ Nevada 17	UNLV -7.5	UNLV W
Nov 30 2024	Nevada 14 @ UNLV 38	UNLV -17.5	UNLV W
Oct 14 2023	UNLV 45 @ Nevada 27	UNLV -7.5	UNLV W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NEV−13.2 →−10.8▲ 2.4#108

UNLV−0.6 →−4.1▼ 3.5#84

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

NEV

Longer bar = better

UNLV

#94

Offense

Even

#101

#56

Defense

◀ NEV better

#71

−1.3 #136

Turnovers

UNLV better ▶

0.0 #77

64 plays #96

Pace

UNLV faster ▶

66 plays #69

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEV has the ball

Advantage: UNLV defense

	NEV off	UNLV def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #89	23.7 #69	Even
Yards / play	5.71 #84	5.68 #90	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #101	+0.07 #64	UNLV
Success rate	40% #103	40% #59	UNLV

When UNLV has the ball

Advantage: NEV defense

	UNLV off	NEV def	Edge
Points / game	24.1 #98	23.5 #66	NEV
Yards / play	5.59 #90	4.90 #30	NEV
PPA / play	+0.09 #94	+0.12 #85	Even
Success rate	38% #122	39% #44	NEV

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NEV scoring against the UNLV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NEV scored	6.3 #65	4.5 #128	10.8 #109	7.3 #38	6.8 #71	14.2 #54
UNLV allowed	4.3 #56	5.3 #31	9.6 #40	7.4 #110	6.7 #85	14.1 #112

UNLV scoring against the NEV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNLV scored	4.0 #98	9.3 #63	13.3 #91	5.3 #89	5.6 #107	10.9 #97
NEV allowed	3.3 #35	8.3 #88	11.7 #64	2.5 #23	7.8 #103	10.3 #57

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.