Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Memphis · Conference game
TEM 13%87% MEM
Spread
—
Total
—
model 59
Model line
MEM -15.5
MEM 87% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Memphis 87%
Projected TEM 22 – MEM 36 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
MEM -15.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 59
How the model gets there (points from MEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadMEM rating edge+12.3+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.8=Model marginMEM by 15.6
TotalScoring ratings58.9=Model total58.9
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 5-4-1 56% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
TEM 0–1 MEM
MEM leads · 1 game since 2023 · MEM has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24 2023 | Memphis 45 @ Temple 21 | MEM -13 | MEM W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TEM−7.3 →−9.4▼ 2.1#105
MEM+1.4 →+2.0▲ 0.6#61
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#56
Offense
MEM better ▶#26
#117
Defense
MEM better ▶#66
0.0 #74
Turnovers
MEM better ▶+0.5 #38
59 plays #131
Pace
MEM faster ▶71 plays #22
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TEM off | MEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.7 #90 | 23.8 #70 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.57 #27 | 5.85 #101 | TEM |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #42 | +0.07 #57 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #66 | 38% #36 | MEM |
| MEM off | TEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 36.1 #28 | 28.0 #108 | MEM |
| Yards / play | 7.17 #8 | 6.17 #118 | MEM |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #49 | +0.21 #119 | MEM |
| Success rate | 49% #19 | 46% #121 | MEM |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TEM scoring against the MEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.9 #55 | 7.3 #97 | 14.1 #82 | 3.9 #116 | 6.9 #68 | 10.7 #99 | |
2.9 #29 | 10.5 #122 | 13.4 #89 | 5.5 #81 | 4.9 #42 | 10.4 #62 |
MEM scoring against the TEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.1 #90 | 9.8 #52 | 14.9 #74 | 11.3 #7 | 9.1 #28 | 20.4 #7 | |
6.4 #107 | 4.9 #26 | 11.3 #56 | 6.4 #98 | 9.3 #127 | 15.7 #125 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
TEM7d
MEM6d
TEM +1 day
Tempo
Average 130 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

